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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| February | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| March | 0% | — | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| April | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| May | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| July | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| August | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| September | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| October | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| November | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| December | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| No IPO before 2027 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133d |  scout | June | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,697 | +$28 +0.1% | 20 |
| 133d |  m44 | June | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,005 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 133d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | No IPO before 2027 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,497 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 133d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b042 fills | June | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,712 | +$17 +0.1% | 20 |
| 133d |  Writeoff | No IPO before 2027 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,786 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | MetaMaverick0 | No IPO before 2027 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,434 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d |  Gleaming-Pear | June | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,179 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 134d | Dafu07154 fills | June | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,695 | +$43 +0.6% | 20 |
| 138d | POTUSby | June | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,114 | −$17 −0.8% | — |
| 146d |  elmcap22 fills | May | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,320 | +$72 +0.3% | 20 |
| 189d | enrico-vasaio | April | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 192d | leiE | June | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,126 | −$1,126 −100% | 20 |
| 207d |  Ahpo | March | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 207d | Ahpo3 fills | March | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,181 | +$14 +0.3% | 20 |
8.btc10,904 shares
Gausslois8,888 shares
Dxjjgcv4,500 shares
GollumGekko1,564 sharesThis market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for June means the market gives it about 100%.