| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 24,354 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $23,319 | +$1,891 +8.8% |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 17,000 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $16,243 | +$1,526 +10% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 9,101 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $8,837 | +$316 +3.7% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 8,131 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $8,037 | +$104 +1.3% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 7,970 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $7,766 | +$252 +3.4% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 6,667 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $6,610 | +$474 +7.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 70d | No | 6,700 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $6,264 | +$302 +5.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 6,000 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $5,889 | +$629 +12% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 6,099 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $5,876 | +$32 +0.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 6,000 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $5,730 | +$70 +1.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 6,000 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $5,670 | +$5 +0.1% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | No | 5,500 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $5,140 | −$43 −0.8% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 5,158 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $5,034 | +$843 +20% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 5,000 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $4,822 | +$120 +2.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 5,000 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $4,175 | −$45 −1.1% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 5,100 | 39¢ → 78¢ | $3,952 | +$1,951 +98% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 3,944 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $3,827 | +$13 +0.3% |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Ends in 129d | No | 3,229 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $3,177 | +$32 +1.0% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 3,500 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $3,028 | +$124 +4.3% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 3,000 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $2,888 | +$408 +16% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 3,000 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $2,595 | +$144 +5.9% |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 2,665 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $2,589 | +$51 +2.0% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 2,378 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $2,273 | +$72 +3.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 4,671 | 24¢ → 49¢ | $2,266 | +$1,158 +105% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 2,300 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $2,220 | +$88 +4.1% |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 2,051 | 37¢ → 95¢ | $1,939 | +$1,182 +156% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 8d | No | 2,041 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $1,909 | +$345 +22% |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 2,000 | 55¢ → 95¢ | $1,900 | +$795 +72% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 2,000 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $1,870 | +$10 +0.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,023 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $1,731 | +$44 +2.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 1,547 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $1,543 | +$78 +5.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,634 | 39¢ → 85¢ | $1,381 | +$743 +117% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 1,335 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $1,287 | +$2 +0.2% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 1,864 | 53¢ → 69¢ | $1,277 | +$290 +29% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 1,573 | 32¢ → 81¢ | $1,266 | +$760 +150% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 9d | No | 1,200 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $1,165 | +$102 +9.6% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 1,257 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $1,146 | +$52 +4.8% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 3,041 | 21¢ → 36¢ | $1,095 | +$442 +68% |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,100 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1,075 | +$24 +2.3% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,100 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $1,068 | +$53 +5.2% |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,970 | 68¢ → 53¢ | $1,034 | −$313 −23% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 999 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $973 | +$40 +4.3% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,000 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $968 | +$68 +7.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,000 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $965 | −$1 −0.1% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 991 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $956 | +$38 +4.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,000 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $930 | −$20 −2.1% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,001 | 80¢ → 92¢ | $921 | +$121 +15% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 1,010 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $920 | +$63 +7.3% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 77d | Yes | 1,000 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $910 | −$10 −1.1% |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 947 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $881 | +$57 +6.9% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 1,000 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $775 | +$14 +1.8% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 938 | 47¢ → 81¢ | $760 | +$320 +73% |
| Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 895 | 28¢ → 85¢ | $756 | +$508 +205% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 782 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $676 | +$68 +11% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 800 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $660 | −$7 −1.0% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 700 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $637 | −$14 −2.2% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 800 | 70¢ → 77¢ | $612 | +$52 +9.3% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 600 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $578 | +$1 +0.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 800 | 66¢ → 71¢ | $568 | +$36 +6.8% |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 954 | 76¢ → 60¢ | $568 | −$158 −22% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 3,311 | 18¢ → 17¢ | $563 | −$30 −5.0% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 607 | 61¢ → 90¢ | $543 | +$174 +47% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 536 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $521 | +$25 +5.1% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 508 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $497 | −$2 −0.3% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 505 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $496 | +$37 +8.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 3,000 | 37¢ → 17¢ | $495 | −$602 −55% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 650 | 82¢ → 76¢ | $492 | −$44 −8.1% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 600 | 85¢ → 81¢ | $486 | −$24 −4.7% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 500 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $480 | +$7 +1.6% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | No | 600 | 75¢ → 78¢ | $465 | +$18 +4.0% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 500 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $453 | +$18 +4.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 500 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $433 | −$13 −2.8% |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 469 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $427 | +$14 +3.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 39d | No | 554 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $418 | −$3 −0.7% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 54d | Yes | 500 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $418 | +$38 +9.9% |
| Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 421 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $400 | +$25 +6.7% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 400 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $392 | +$52 +15% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 400 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $392 | +$16 +4.2% |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 416 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $383 | +$24 +6.8% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 400 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $383 | +$15 +4.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 416 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $383 | −$4 −1.1% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 400 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $383 | +$53 +16% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 47d | No | 500 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $383 | −$18 −4.4% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $378 | +$60 +19% |
| Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 368 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $362 | +$21 +6.2% |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 356 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $349 | +$8 +2.3% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 400 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $342 | +$18 +5.6% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 526d | No | 400 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $341 | +$10 +2.9% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 300 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $289 | +$1 +0.3% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 325 | 65¢ → 86¢ | $279 | +$70 +33% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 600 | 13¢ → 45¢ | $270 | +$192 +246% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 400 | 76¢ → 65¢ | $260 | −$44 −14% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 400 | 57¢ → 63¢ | $250 | +$22 +9.6% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?Ends in 56d | No | 245 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $236 | +$10 +4.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | No | 300 | 64¢ → 78¢ | $234 | +$42 +22% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 218 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $213 | +$7 +3.4% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 250 | 70¢ → 83¢ | $208 | +$33 +19% |
| Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 212 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $196 | +$22 +13% |
| Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 200 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $193 | +$3 +1.8% |
| Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $193 | +$23 +14% |