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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +56 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535d | dewli | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,209 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 535d | RS2004 | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,099 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 536d | Dps | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,061 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 536d | 1ggz | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,186 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 536d | Underdarkus | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,460 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 536d | Brokenstig1 | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,156 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 536d | RareMonk | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,477 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 536d | BowlOfPunch | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,342 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 536d | jiggly | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $24,050 | −$167 −0.7% | — |
| 536d | jconfusedpinetree | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,421 | −$21 −0.3% | — |
| 536d |  Ra9751215792 fills | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $3,279 | −$1,191 −36% | — |
| 536d | Perypery | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,688 | −$64 −0.8% | — |
| 536d | elRetardo2 fills | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,467 | −$36 −1.4% | — |
| 536d |  HNIC2 fills | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $23,532 | +$277 +1.2% | 20 |
| 536d |  Car4 fills | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $10,304 | +$1,874 +18% | 20 |
| 536d |  MisTKy313 fills | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $22,244 | +$8,614 +39% | 20 |
| 536d | MisTKy35 fills | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $10,401 | −$8,294 −80% | — |
| 536d |  ChironCrossing | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | +$2,375 +178% | 21 |
| 536d |  betwick | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $5,542 | −$5,542 −100% | 20 |
| 536d | 0x7853…36d8 | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | −$1,811 −178% | — |
| 536d |  Zillax | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,467 | −$1,467 −100% | 20 |
| 536d |  Wickier2 fills | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes52¢ → 100¢ | $3,363 | −$3,045 −91% | — |
| 536d |  okc35 | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,129 | +$1,129 +100% | — |
| 537d |  just.some.guy3 fills | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $7,645 | −$7,645 −100% | 22 |
| 537d |  KimJonEn | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 20 |
| 537d | randomGuy2580 | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $1,320 | −$1,320 −100% | 20 |
| 538d | Justin007 | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $2,038 | +$2,540 +125% | 21 |
| 539d | maadscientist | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes39¢ → 100¢ | $1,729 | −$2,674 −155% | — |
| 539d | BlindGibbon | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,740 | −$1,740 −100% | 20 |
| 539d |  Bloodwyrm | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | +$3,850 +122% | 21 |
| 540d | Don.Julio | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,008 +100% | 20 |
| 540d | JOHNOO2 fills | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | +$2,288 +78% | 20 |
| 540d | Underdarkus | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $2,001 | +$2,451 +122% | 21 |
| 540d | Doggieson | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 20 |
| 540d | Gmoas | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,284 | +$1,284 +100% | — |
| 541d | jiggly6 fills | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $11,456 | +$8,054 +70% | 20 |
| 541d | Khaelin | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $16,131 | −$11,681 −72% | — |
| 541d | Khaelin | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $16,966 | +$10,847 +64% | 20 |
| 541d | kenkan88 | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | +$826 +61% | 20 |
| 541d | maadscientist2 fills | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $2,565 | +$1,644 +64% | 20 |
| 542d | Cbarbhwux2 fills | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $9,418 | +$6,800 +72% | 20 |
| 542d | VLONA | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,008 +101% | 20 |
| 542d | PNGNPLAA | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | +$446 +32% | 20 |
| 542d | jconfusedpinetree | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,815 | +$605 +33% | 20 |
| 542d |  GetEvenOrGetEvenWorse | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $7,460 | +$1,983 +27% | 20 |
| 543d |  City17 | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$569 +28% | 20 |
| 543d |  formernorrisfan | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | −$492 −49% | — |
| 543d | Wickier2 fills | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $4,450 | +$1,959 +44% | 20 |
| 543d |  Libitum | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyNo31¢ → 0¢ | $1,457 | −$1,457 −100% | 21 |
| 543d | formernorrisfan | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$384 +38% | 20 |
| 546d | Shadrik | India military action against Pakistan before June? | SellNo48¢ → 0¢ | $14,696 | +$14,696 +100% | — |
| 546d | Evronith | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $15,627 | +$15,015 +96% | 20 |
| 547d | avpo3 fills | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $4,446 | +$1,886 +42% | 20 |
| 547d |  ScamWick2 fills | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $4,360 | +$1,269 +29% | 20 |
| 547d |  GayPride | India military action against Pakistan before June? | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $2,574 | −$2,574 −100% | 21 |
GayPride16,800 shares
m1thrandir2,975 shares
TarasShevchenko1,777 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if India initiates a military action on Pakistani soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Pakistani embassies or consulates between April 22, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by India on Pakistani soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Pakistani soil is hit by an Indian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Indian government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.