| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 751d | No | 6,686 | 50¢ → 99¢ | $6,602 | +$3,259 +98% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | No | 1,000 | 60¢ → 86¢ | $861 | +$261 +43% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 500 | 60¢ → 97¢ | $487 | +$187 +62% |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | Yes | 2,907 | 3¢ → 14¢ | $407 | +$321 +375% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 500 | 47¢ → 67¢ | $335 | +$100 +43% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 4,331 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $281 | +$56 +25% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,018 | 7¢ → 28¢ | $280 | +$212 +309% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 9d | No | 1,000 | 9¢ → 27¢ | $270 | +$179 +197% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,125 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $250 | +$101 +68% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,291 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $214 | −$20 −8.7% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 5,391 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $202 | +$3 +1.6% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 350 | 41¢ → 56¢ | $198 | +$54 +38% |
| Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Ends in 255d | No | 1,221 | 3¢ → 16¢ | $195 | +$161 +468% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 386 | 5¢ → 44¢ | $168 | +$149 +770% |
| Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,259 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $149 | +$57 +63% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,691 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $135 | +$77 +134% |
| Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 27¢ | $133 | +$128 +2550% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 77d | Yes | 2,000 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $130 | +$64 +98% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,746 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $122 | +$22 +22% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 28d | Yes | 2,206 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $116 | +$56 +95% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,209 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $113 | +$9 +8.8% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,625 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $105 | −$25 −19% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,284 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $103 | +$7 +7.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 679 | 8¢ → 14¢ | $98 | +$41 +71% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 4,774 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $98 | −$131 −57% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 908 | 7¢ → 11¢ | $95 | +$36 +60% |
| Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,250 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $95 | −$76 −45% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 764 | 8¢ → 12¢ | $88 | +$27 +44% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 751d | Yes | 6,686 | 50¢ → 1¢ | $84 | −$3,259 −98% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,750 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $83 | +$43 +106% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,481 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $79 | −$22 −22% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,000 | 3¢ → 8¢ | $78 | +$49 +169% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 530d | No | 415 | 15¢ → 19¢ | $77 | +$15 +23% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 372 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $76 | −$9 −11% |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,875 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $70 | −$35 −34% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 500 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $68 | −$8 −10% |
| Senate control favorite on November 2?Ends in 15d | Republican Party | 2,125 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $63 | +$20 +48% |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Ends in 8d | No | 583 | 8¢ → 11¢ | $61 | +$13 +27% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 938 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $61 | +$23 +62% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $60 | +$38 +171% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,089 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $60 | −$5 −7.6% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | No | 250 | 4¢ → 24¢ | $59 | +$49 +487% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 780 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $55 | +$4 +8.0% |
| Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,325 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $54 | +$8 +17% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,308 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $54 | −$16 −23% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 250 | 45¢ → 22¢ | $54 | −$59 −52% |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,500 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $53 | +$18 +50% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,500 | <1¢ → 2¢ | $52 | +$43 +458% |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,160 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $52 | +$2 +4.1% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,390 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $52 | +$36 +220% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 945 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $52 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,068 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $51 | +$34 +207% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 530d | Yes | 314 | 15¢ → 16¢ | $50 | +$3 +6.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,250 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $48 | +$17 +58% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 4,675 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $47 | −$159 −77% |
| Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 759 | 3¢ → 6¢ | $46 | +$23 +101% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 6d | No | 1,369 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $44 | +$12 +37% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 364 | 9¢ → 12¢ | $44 | +$10 +28% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,221 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $43 | +$28 +185% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,072 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $43 | +$19 +80% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,078 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $42 | +$17 +68% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 447 | 3¢ → 9¢ | $41 | +$28 +222% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 327 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $41 | +$4 +11% |
| Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,337 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $41 | −$17 −29% |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 740 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $41 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 280 | 4¢ → 14¢ | $41 | +$29 +263% |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 500 | 3¢ → 8¢ | $40 | +$25 +167% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 440 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $40 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,671 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $38 | −$13 −26% |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 914 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $38 | +$29 +320% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 500 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $38 | +$11 +40% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 74d | Yes | 743 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $37 | +$5 +15% |
| Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?Ends in 12d | No | 63 | 3¢ → 59¢ | $37 | +$35 +1850% |
| Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 120 | 5¢ → 30¢ | $36 | +$30 +500% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 223d | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 7¢ | $36 | +$26 +258% |
| Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 691 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $36 | +$24 +199% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,500 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $35 | −$5 −14% |
| Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Ends in 231d | No | 233 | 2¢ → 14¢ | $34 | +$29 +625% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 74d | Yes | 500 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $33 | +$8 +30% |
| Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 369 | 5¢ → 9¢ | $31 | +$14 +82% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 367 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $31 | −$3 −7.6% |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?Ends in 28d | Yes | 902 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $31 | +$17 +125% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,000 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $31 | −$7 −19% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 844 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $30 | +$19 +166% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 624 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $30 | +$11 +58% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 860 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $29 | −$2 −5.1% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 672 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $29 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 975 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $29 | +$9 +48% |
| Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 250 | 4¢ → 12¢ | $29 | +$19 +188% |
| Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 4,698 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $28 | −$61 −68% |
| Plague pandemic in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,500 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $28 | +$8 +39% |
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 163 | 3¢ → 17¢ | $28 | +$23 +433% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 547 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $28 | +$12 +78% |
| Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,481 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $27 | +$17 +168% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 865 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $27 | +$3 +11% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?Ends in 74d | Yes | 125 | 2¢ → 21¢ | $26 | +$24 +950% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 469 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $26 | +$3 +15% |
| Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday?Ends in 105d | No | 40 | 2¢ → 61¢ | $24 | +$24 +2945% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 391 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $24 | +$10 +68% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 250 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $24 | −$2 −6.9% |
