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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100M | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| $1B | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $2B | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $3B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $4B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $5B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $800M | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $600M | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| $400M | 0% | −4 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| $200M | 0% | −69 pts | −72 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| $300M | 0% | −8 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265d | 0xAstroBoy | $600M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,619 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | washedtrades | $200M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,506 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  pandafam | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,359 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | TupoChill | $200M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | rovad | $300M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,419 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 265d | plantostar | $200M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Rotten-Nougat | $200M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,139 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | 0x9fa15722f9d6a56d6c204ce5d4880874a60b335d | $200M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,409 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $33,543 | +$114 +0.3% | 2 |
| 265d | Flancho | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,146 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d |  fdg | $400M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 265d |  sadmt | $300M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,429 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 265d |  niitoxyz | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | Laurenman3 fills | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,646 | +$18 +0.4% | 2 |
| 265d |  leleko2k | $100M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,868 | +$41 +0.5% | 2 |
| 265d | Neitherino | $100M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | +$14 +0.9% | 2 |
| 265d |  bobbymontana2 fills | $200M | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,252 | −$748 −23% | — |
| 265d | 1881aa2 fills | $100M | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,873 | −$148 −5.1% | — |
| 265d | CryptoRandi | $600M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,867 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | fdg | $200M | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,497 | −$134 −3.0% | — |
| 265d | Chuks | $800M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,008 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 265d | Chuks | $600M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,026 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $100M | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,926 | −$74 −2.5% | — |
| 265d | rumenspecov | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,514 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | birjesh | $200M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$51 +4.3% | 2 |
| 265d | kalank | $200M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,784 | +$119 +4.3% | 2 |
| 265d | nobody-pro | $200M | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,879 | −$78 −4.2% | — |
| 265d | 0xSensei | $600M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | dotheoppositeofme | $200M | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$172 +15% | 2 |
| 265d | FxnEdge | $600M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,481 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d |  one8tyfive | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,018 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 265d | birjesh | $600M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,102 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 265d | sidekicks9 fills | $200M | SellNo28¢ → 100¢ | $17,419 | −$43,970 −252% | — |
| 265d | Polygonooooor | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,208 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | sidekiloing | $600M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,151 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | gamblito | $800M | SellNo>99¢ | $6,039 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 265d | Arbgod-himself | $200M | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$151 +15% | 2 |
| 265d | kalank | $100M | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,543 | −$108 −4.3% | — |
| 265d | r8882 fills | $200M | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,067 | −$492 −16% | — |
| 265d | porsche911fund | $200M | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,477 | −$532 −21% | — |
| 265d | deepmouse | $800M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,100 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | Tame-Rank | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,319 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | 0x6ca81ba804430c82a7be978E57c550a0b701D776 | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | AIHOZA | $3B | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,881 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | AIHOZA | $600M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,187 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 266d | 0xc92e76095584f19d9c46f7a4ff7f2d918c02a6a1 | $3B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,988 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d |  0x2048Ba14eC0CAD6e8d308C25f6EFdfDE23b0f510 fills | $200M | SellYes57¢ → 0¢ | $18,030 | +$18,030 +100% | — |
| 266d | miracl1 | $200M | SellNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | −$605 −56% | — |
| 266d | 1984b2 fills | $200M | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,426 | −$1,331 −55% | — |
| 266d | Gruesome-Veneer | $3B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,493 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 266d | 0x15ce9A512F0d4475ABb6DbA71ae702E2Dc17033 fills | $200M | SellYes32¢ → 0¢ | $4,657 | +$4,657 +100% | — |
| 266d | 764940 | $3B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,900 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | Natural-Transmission | $5B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,201 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | guo2223 | $5B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,142 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | omegonx | $3B | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | 9b6844 | $5B | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,996 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | tryingmyluckhere | $200M | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,846 | −$1,188 −64% | — |
| 266d | yongen | $5B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,948 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 266d | 666666 | $300M | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | +$73 +5.6% | 2 |
| 266d | yulen2 fills | $600M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,513 | +$78 +2.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Infinex's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Infinex (https://infinex.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $100M means the market gives it about 100%.
