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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
RemoveBeforeFlight2,055 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2023, ET. The market will resolve to "No" if there is no credible confirmation of Iran possessing a nuclear weapon by this date.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.