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Polymarket wallet 0x784ebcbfa79ae6e0a926b4eb610b55cbb7143650 · on Polymarket since Oct 10, 2023 · also shown as Short-Term-Neglect
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by November 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,020 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,055 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| North Korea nuke by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 933 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,222 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Hamas surrender in 2023?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1029d | Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? | SellYes6¢ | $1 |
| 1033d | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | SellYes39¢ | $308 |
| 1043d | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | SellYes39¢ | $23 |
| 1043d | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | SellYes39¢ | $7 |
| 1044d | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | SellYes39¢ | $26 |
| 1045d | Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? | SellYes20¢ | $9 |
| 1047d | Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? | BuyYes17¢ | $17 |
| 1047d | Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? | BuyYes19¢ | $4 |
| 1047d | Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? | BuyYes18¢ | $5 |
| 1086d | Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? | BuyNo4¢ | $40 |
| 1086d | US military intervention by Oct 31? | SellYes12¢ | $242 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.