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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 928d | professorx | Iran response to Israel by Monday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,698 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 928d |  ImJustKen | Iran response to Israel by Monday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 929d |  50Whence | Iran response to Israel by Monday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | +$23 +2.0% | 5 |
| 929d |  Reini1860 | Iran response to Israel by Monday? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$94 +7.2% | 6 |
On April 1, 2024, it was reported Israel bombed an Iranian consulate in Syria, killing a senior commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps. Iran promised a "decisive response". This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an Iranian response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria by April 8, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A response by Iran refers to action(s) carried out by Iran that are explicitly in response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria, which may include strikes, cyber attacks, sanctions, etc. Only responses by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.