Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 4¢ · 7¢ (3¢) | $138 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60d | trader-d4a83850 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | SellNo92¢ → 95¢ | $1,492 | −$41 −2.8% | — |
| 79d |  devin.lawson.777 fills | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyNo81¢ → 95¢ | $31,784 | +$5,239 +16% | 17 |
| 84d |  MEPP2 fills | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | SellNo88¢ → 95¢ | $8,365 | −$575 −6.9% | — |
| 89d | MEPP3 fills | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyNo87¢ → 95¢ | $8,452 | +$696 +8.2% | 12 |
| 92d | aaIrbet | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyYes16¢ → 5¢ | $1,000 | −$649 −65% | 24 |
| 113d | agagyu | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | SellNo90¢ → 95¢ | $2,239 | −$113 −5.1% | — |
| 126d | trader-d4a83850 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ → 95¢ | $1,480 | +$53 +3.6% | 10 |
| 151d |  debased | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyYes19¢ → 5¢ | $1,122 | −$797 −71% | 25 |
| 152d | agagyu | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyNo85¢ → 95¢ | $1,197 | +$140 +12% | 14 |
| 210d | Cinibengales | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyYes24¢ → 5¢ | $1,029 | −$795 −77% | 24 |
| 211d | inventive | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyNo77¢ → 95¢ | $3,850 | +$878 +23% | 19 |
| 212d | AlansWorld1822 fills | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyNo77¢ → 95¢ | $3,080 | +$702 +23% | 19 |
| 234d | Skinny-Diving | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyYes33¢ → 5¢ | $1,409 | −$1,179 −84% | 25 |
| 246d | BrandonGonzalez4698 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 95¢ | $1,024 | +$102 +9.9% | 13 |
devin.lawson.7774,302 sharesMEPP6,964 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 5%.