| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 94,945 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $85,925 | +$725 +0.9% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 83,353 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $79,769 | +$10,938 +16% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 47,748 | 77¢ → 85¢ | $40,514 | +$3,587 +9.7% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 24,062 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $23,196 | +$3,707 +19% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 21,753 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $21,089 | +$2,972 +16% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 20,000 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $19,120 | +$320 +1.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 24h | Yes | 17,025 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $15,408 | +$70 +0.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 23,013 | 41¢ → 65¢ | $15,039 | +$5,502 +58% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20,791 | 74¢ → 71¢ | $14,658 | −$774 −5.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 14,255 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $13,870 | +$1,050 +8.2% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 14,173 | 73¢ → 96¢ | $13,543 | +$3,156 +30% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 14,722 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $13,324 | +$598 +4.7% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 13,338 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $11,744 | +$495 +4.4% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 11,250 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $10,845 | +$1,695 +19% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10,145 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $9,435 | +$364 +4.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10,330 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $9,039 | +$202 +2.3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 8,649 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $8,355 | +$1,833 +28% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8,273 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $8,112 | +$876 +12% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7,675 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $7,464 | +$1,344 +22% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 7,500 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $6,938 | +$488 +7.6% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 8,819 | 65¢ → 79¢ | $6,923 | +$1,162 +20% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 6,964 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $6,574 | +$567 +9.4% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 6,478 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $6,203 | +$579 +10% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 6,500 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $6,172 | +$972 +19% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6,400 | 63¢ → 94¢ | $5,984 | +$1,965 +49% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 7,762 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $5,550 | +$116 +2.1% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5,680 | 69¢ → 96¢ | $5,473 | +$1,534 +39% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7,031 | 64¢ → 77¢ | $5,389 | +$903 +20% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6,000 | 78¢ → 88¢ | $5,250 | +$600 +13% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 34,572 | 11¢ → 14¢ | $5,013 | +$1,210 +32% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5,000 | 64¢ → 97¢ | $4,860 | +$1,660 +52% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,000 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $4,575 | −$25 −0.5% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5,121 | 62¢ → 87¢ | $4,435 | +$1,262 +40% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4,490 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $4,153 | +$67 +1.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5,000 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $3,925 | +$75 +1.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4,537 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $3,924 | +$38 +1.0% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,907 | 67¢ → 97¢ | $3,786 | +$1,178 +45% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 3,906 | 81¢ → 91¢ | $3,535 | +$370 +12% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 4,105 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $3,468 | −$51 −1.4% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5,294 | 27¢ → 63¢ | $3,335 | +$1,926 +137% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3,437 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $3,248 | +$408 +14% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6,500 | 77¢ → 50¢ | $3,217 | −$1,768 −35% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,964 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $2,831 | +$44 +1.6% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,823 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $2,743 | +$460 +20% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 9,690 | 35¢ → 27¢ | $2,568 | −$856 −25% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,800 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $2,464 | +$70 +2.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 21,250 | 15¢ → 12¢ | $2,444 | −$651 −21% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,492 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $2,385 | +$189 +8.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,876 | 74¢ → 80¢ | $2,286 | +$158 +7.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 4,607 | 55¢ → 49¢ | $2,258 | −$267 −11% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5,497 | 58¢ → 38¢ | $2,061 | −$1,131 −35% |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2,177 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $2,004 | +$72 +3.7% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 2,259 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $1,864 | +$34 +1.9% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 5,000 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $1,425 | −$75 −5.0% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 69d | No | 1,521 | 62¢ → 93¢ | $1,414 | +$470 +50% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 3,055 | 58¢ → 44¢ | $1,344 | −$428 −24% |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,272 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $1,202 | +$27 +2.3% |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 994 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $949 | +$15 +1.6% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4,358 | 25¢ → 22¢ | $937 | −$153 −14% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 885 | 74¢ → 91¢ | $805 | +$150 +23% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | Yes | 756 | 61¢ → 83¢ | $624 | +$163 +35% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 613 | 50¢ → 80¢ | $487 | +$181 +59% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 7,488 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $487 | −$399 −45% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 6,897 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $483 | −$690 −59% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 6,661 | 15¢ → 6¢ | $416 | −$569 −58% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 1,511 | 35¢ → 25¢ | $378 | −$146 −28% |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 383 | 71¢ → 98¢ | $374 | +$103 +38% |
| Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 1,070 | 15¢ → 34¢ | $358 | +$194 +118% |
| Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?Ends in 68d | Girl | 728 | 48¢ → 49¢ | $357 | +$7 +2.1% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10,000 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $320 | +$30 +10% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 5,705 | 15¢ → 6¢ | $314 | −$542 −63% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 256 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $250 | +$37 +17% |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 4d | No | 3,059 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $219 | −$142 −39% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,523 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $214 | +$67 +45% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $196 | +$16 +8.9% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 197 | 79¢ → 94¢ | $186 | +$30 +20% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 271 | 56¢ → 67¢ | $182 | +$30 +19% |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | Yes | 202 | 55¢ → 85¢ | $171 | +$59 +53% |
| Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 170 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $141 | +$3 +2.5% |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?Ends in 434d | No | 193 | 41¢ → 69¢ | $133 | +$54 +68% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$17 +21% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 110 | 64¢ → 73¢ | $81 | +$10 +14% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 87 | 12¢ → 90¢ | $78 | +$68 +654% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | Yes | 277 | 38¢ → 23¢ | $62 | −$43 −41% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 66 | 55¢ → 94¢ | $62 | +$26 +70% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 69d | Yes | 243 | 73¢ → 24¢ | $57 | −$119 −68% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 301 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $40 | +$4 +12% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 38 | 71¢ → 93¢ | $35 | +$8 +30% |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 54¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$9 +80% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,709 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $14 | −$155 −92% |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $12 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 35¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$5 +153% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 48 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $6 | +$1 +12% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | No | 874 | 11¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$94 −96% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 52 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −60% |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 462 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$166 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,896 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$392 −100% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,746 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,621 −100% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,239 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$666 −100% |
