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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 642d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,697 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 642d | Cryptonite101 | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,116 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 642d |  debased4 fills | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $32,842 | −$206 −0.6% | — |
| 642d | Liquidifier4 fills | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,274 | −$33 −0.5% | — |
| 642d |  MisTKy32 fills | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,319 | −$19 −0.4% | — |
| 643d |  tsybka | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | SellYes100¢ | $2,786 | −$14 −0.5% | — |
| 643d | tf2 | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,964 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 643d | Liquidifier2 fills | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,460 | +$21 +0.4% | 20 |
| 643d |  Dropper | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,812 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 643d | MrNigga | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,040 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 643d | Ordon3 fills | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,172 | +$40 +0.4% | 20 |
| 644d |  Burnmoneyuser | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 644d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,697 | +$11 +0.4% | 20 |
| 644d |  MotherTheresa | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,212 | −$34 −0.8% | — |
| 644d | MashedPotato | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,333 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 644d | longtern | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 644d | debased | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,681 | +$12 +0.7% | 20 |
| 644d |  Kalags3 fills | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,780 | +$322 +5.6% | 22 |
| 644d | Kalags2 fills | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,009 | −$232 −3.9% | — |
| 644d | joe.night2024 | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,463 | −$41 −2.8% | — |
| 644d | joe.night2024 | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | +$74 +5.2% | 20 |
| 644d | 1mperator17 | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,907 | −$166 −8.7% | — |
| 644d |  Car2 fills | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,699 | +$157 +5.8% | 22 |
| 644d | MotherTheresa3 fills | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $8,771 | +$8,259 +94% | 28 |
| 645d |  aenews2 | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$117 +11% | 23 |
| 645d |  lranon | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,797 | +$203 +11% | 23 |
| 645d |  WashTrade | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | −$131 −8.7% | — |
| 645d | MisTKy3 | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | +$106 +7.5% | 22 |
| 645d | BlindGibbon | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$75 +7.0% | 22 |
| 645d |  png10242 fills | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,152 | −$637 −20% | — |
| 645d | Burnmoneyuser2 fills | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $6,696 | +$958 +14% | 23 |
| 645d | Dropper | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | +$377 +33% | 27 |
| 645d | semi | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,107 | +$560 +27% | 26 |
| 645d |  mr.ozi | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$750 +61% | 28 |
| 645d | Mavsin4 | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | SellNo82¢ → 0¢ | $1,059 | +$1,059 +100% | — |
| 645d | Dr.B.J.Hardick | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,199 | −$1,199 −100% | 26 |
| 645d | NELF2 fills | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $2,574 | −$2,574 −100% | 27 |
| 645d |  endo2 | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,909 | −$1,909 −100% | 28 |
| 645d | PGvWyy1cDV | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $2,233 | −$2,233 −100% | 28 |
| 645d |  omghhhh | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,351 | −$1,351 −100% | 28 |
Laisn03683 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has agreed to a ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between itself and Hamas between January 16, 10:00 AM ET and January 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If Israel officially announces an agreement before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from Israel, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating Israel has announced an official ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas has been reached will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.