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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +54 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 486d |  TheWolfOfPoly | Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,989 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 486d |  Car | Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,591 | +$42 +2.6% | 20 |
| 486d | Rejj | Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | −$133 −12% | — |
| 486d | Rejj | Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$90 +7.5% | 20 |
| 486d | denizz | Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,497 | +$734 +21% | 21 |
| 486d |  png1024 | Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$499 +36% | 22 |
| 486d |  MajidJavadi | Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | +$623 +50% | 22 |
| 487d | Rundeep | Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | +$252 +13% | 21 |
| 487d | Ghost19 | Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 22 |
| 487d | Kjkgdr3jhg | Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 22 |
| 487d | greengasper | Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$121 +6.1% | 20 |
| 490d |  aabbcc15234 | Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
On June 12, 2025, Israel conducted a series of airstrikes targeting Iranian nuclear and military infrastructure. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government or military publicly and officially announces that its military operations against Iran, initiated on or around June 12, 2025, have concluded by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements resolution must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.