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Polymarket wallet 0x3fda565355e81c4440a0481580c8942243fb5e7b · on Polymarket since Nov 4, 2024 · also shown as Burly-Ectodermal
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 513 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16,787 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$168 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 259 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 236 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 486d | China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? | BuyYes9¢ | $46 |
| 486d | Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025? | BuyYes4¢ | $20 |
| 486d | Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BuyYes2¢ | $20 |
| 487d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | BuyNo1¢ | $86 |
| 487d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | BuyNo1¢ | $79 |
| 487d | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BuyYes8¢ | $20 |
| 487d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | BuyNo1¢ | $3 |
| 487d | US x Iran ceasefire before July? | BuyYes20¢ | $200 |
| 487d | Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyNo25¢ | $60 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.