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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not by April 19 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| April 8-12 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| April 13-19 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 917d |  ImJustKen | Not by April 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,998 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 922d | Ponj2 fills | Not by April 19 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,861 | +$102 +3.6% | 4 |
| 924d | ImJustKen | April 8-12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,379 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 924d | Argh | April 8-12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Not by April 19 means the market gives it about 100%.