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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 15 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176d |  ZhangMuZhi..2 fills | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,359 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 |
| 176d | zxc368 | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,000 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 176d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,000 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 176d | ddolsw123r | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 176d |  x.o | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,991 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 176d | JusDuC | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,600 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 176d | GCNO1 | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 178d |  suraxy2 fills | April 30 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,597 | −$169 −4.7% | — |
| 185d | spacegliderr2 fills | April 30 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,598 | +$402 +8.8% | 20 |
| 187d | VvVvV | April 30 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$94 +7.5% | 20 |
| 187d | Huludubu5 fills | April 30 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $19,156 | +$2,841 +15% | 20 |
| 193d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | April 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,421 | +$15 +0.6% | 20 |
| 193d |  autisem2 fills | April 30 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,673 | −$530 −6.1% | — |
| 194d | Huludubu3 fills | April 15 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,897 | +$476 +8.1% | 20 |
| 196d | okada | April 15 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | −$26 −2.4% | — |
| 199d | autisem | April 30 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,669 | +$553 +6.4% | 20 |
| 203d |  unbrokesociety | April 15 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,379 | +$285 +6.5% | 20 |
| 205d | Unwelcome-Opponent | April 30 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,404 | +$801 +33% | 20 |
| 213d | domainlisting | April 15 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,310 | +$250 +19% | 20 |
bolt9ra3,170 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for April 30 means the market gives it about 0%.