| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,436 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $2,331 | +$9 +0.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 7,132 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $1,961 | −$224 −10% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,152 | 49¢ → 81¢ | $1,732 | +$687 +66% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,531 | 37¢ → 33¢ | $822 | −$114 −12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,674 | 36¢ → 37¢ | $611 | +$11 +1.9% |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 660 | 71¢ → 84¢ | $555 | +$88 +19% |
| Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 500 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $491 | +$26 +5.5% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 698 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $436 | −$12 −2.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,147 | 30¢ → 29¢ | $333 | −$12 −3.6% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 500 | 60¢ → 57¢ | $285 | −$15 −5.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 382 | 68¢ → 74¢ | $281 | +$20 +7.5% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 323 | 62¢ → 83¢ | $266 | +$66 +33% |
| Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 265 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $260 | +$4 +1.5% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 282 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $246 | +$46 +23% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 238 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $232 | +$2 +0.7% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends ended | Yes | 225 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $207 | +$7 +3.4% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 236 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $205 | +$5 +2.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election?Ends in 11d | No | 317 | 63¢ → 62¢ | $197 | −$3 −1.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 235 | 85¢ → 80¢ | $187 | −$13 −6.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 15¢ → 16¢ | $160 | +$10 +6.7% |
| Kash Patel out by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 160 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $157 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 111 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $107 | +$7 +7.2% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 5%-10%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 588 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $106 | +$6 +5.9% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 0%-5%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 278 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $106 | +$6 +5.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 135 | 74¢ → 71¢ | $96 | −$4 −4.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,067 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $91 | −$49 −35% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 323 | 41¢ → 21¢ | $66 | −$65 −50% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 750 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $64 | +$20 +46% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 418 | 24¢ → 15¢ | $64 | −$36 −36% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 61¢ → 63¢ | $63 | +$2 +3.3% |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 466 | 47¢ → 13¢ | $58 | −$161 −73% |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 53 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $46 | +$6 +15% |
| Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 47¢ → 89¢ | $44 | +$21 +88% |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$3 +8.7% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 22?Ends ended | No | 70 | 31¢ → 55¢ | $39 | +$17 +80% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 1,046 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $38 | −$14 −27% |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 46 | 65¢ → 69¢ | $32 | +$2 +5.2% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28?Ends ended | No | 77 | 55¢ → 40¢ | $31 | −$12 −27% |
| Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 600 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $24 | −$36 −60% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 111 | 18¢ → 19¢ | $21 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 35¢ → 38¢ | $19 | +$2 +8.6% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 80 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $18 | +$1 +4.8% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 138 | 23¢ → 13¢ | $17 | −$14 −45% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 94 | 32¢ → 18¢ | $17 | −$13 −44% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 500 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $13 | −$12 −49% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?Ends ended | No | 36 | 39¢ → 35¢ | $13 | −$2 −12% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 91 | 22¢ → 14¢ | $12 | −$8 −39% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 479 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $12 | +$2 +22% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 187 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $11 | −$4 −25% |
| Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 648 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $10 | +$4 +73% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28?Ends in 5d | No | 105 | 19¢ → 9¢ | $9 | −$11 −53% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 173 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $9 | −$8 −45% |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$3 −25% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 19 | 26¢ → 38¢ | $7 | +$2 +46% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 20h | No | 154 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $7 | −$13 −65% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 136 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $6 | −$3 −36% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $6 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 18 | 57¢ → 32¢ | $6 | −$4 −45% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Ends in 69d | Yes | 350 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$25 −82% |
| Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 62¢ → 67¢ | $4 | +$0 +8.1% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?Ends ended | Yes | 370 | 14¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$47 −94% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 28 | 18¢ → 8¢ | $2 | −$3 −58% |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $2 | +$1 +110% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 294 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Jacqueline Belleau win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 922 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 267 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of August 24 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 232 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 254 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 168 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 745 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$413 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,753 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,953 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will Marc-André Cloutier win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,067 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the CAQ win 1 seat in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,333 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 812 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$210 −100% |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 270 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,375 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 63 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 591 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 135 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 61 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 189 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 283 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,150 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,337 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$185 −100% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 513 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 97 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
