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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $262,347 | +$1,343 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,228 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,424 | −$11 −0.2% | — | |
| 724d | Niniti2 | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $94,351 | +$94 +0.1% | 20 |
| 724d | kovinisbebraz | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,029 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 724d | wayneleung2 fills | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | SellYes>99¢ | $19,960 | −$40 −0.2% | — |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $522,053 | +$5,041 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 724d | chimit5 fills | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $77,204 | +$155 +0.2% | 20 |
| 724d | therealbatman9 fills | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,459,534 | +$4,136 +0.3% | 20 |
| 724d | NYET-po | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $79,969 | +$241 +0.3% | 20 |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,988 | −$12 −0.4% | — | |
| 724d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,955 | +$45 +0.3% | 20 |
| 724d | bobe11 | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,952 | +$48 +0.4% | 20 |
| 724d | scanner2 fills | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $17,984 | +$103 +0.6% | 20 |
| 724d | 0xfe91…70ff | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,973 | +$27 +0.3% | 20 |
| 724d | traktoriukas | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,289 | +$17 +0.4% | 20 |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $98,395 | +$1,608 +1.6% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,594 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $341,573 | −$2,979 −0.9% | — | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,723 | +$69 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $39,183 | +$1,561 +4.0% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,379 | +$63 +0.9% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $18,921 | −$140 −0.7% | — | |
| 724d | VvVv | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 724d | Snooky14 | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1,034 | −$1,034 −100% | 25 |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,434 | +$66 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 724d | varlius | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,078 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 724d | bagira | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,041 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $43,018 | +$246 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 724d | marlis | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,031 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,312 | +$67 +0.9% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $32,684 | +$158 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,958 | +$40 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $26,683 | +$203 +0.8% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,214 | +$107 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $20,148 | +$146 +0.7% | 20 | |
| 724d | poptree2 fills | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $119,488 | +$512 +0.4% | 20 |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $15,990 | +$244 +1.5% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,537 | +$63 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $21,543 | −$207 −1.0% | — | |
| 724d | AdvancedStrategies | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,187 | +$13 +0.6% | 20 |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $44,229 | +$229 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | SellYes100¢ | $2,488 | −$13 −0.5% | — | |
| 724d | polywog2 fills | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $137,878 | +$524 +0.4% | 20 |
| 724d | Treadmilled | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $99,526 | +$474 +0.5% | 20 |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $20,850 | +$150 +0.7% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,418 | +$58 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 724d | Breezy-Entrance | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes100¢ | $5,972 | +$30 +0.5% | 20 |
| 724d | Rainiak | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes100¢ | $4,136 | +$21 +0.5% | 20 |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,047 | +$116 +1.9% | 20 | |
| 724d | cqs | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,167 | +$34 +0.8% | 20 |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,696 | +$70 +0.8% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyNo1¢ → 0¢ | $2,156 | −$2,156 −100% | 28 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,453 | +$24 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,417 | −$135 −1.0% | — | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,353 | −$14 −0.6% | — | |
| 724d | funtime88 | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $27,231 | −$2,690 −9.9% | — | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $260,703 | −$3,682 −1.4% | — | |
| 724d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $116,554 | −$2,558 −2.2% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iraqi soil, airspace, or maritime territory between October 13, 2024, and October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iraqi soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iraqi soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.