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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +91 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 728d | Ron24 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,747 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 728d |  pocahontasporker | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,666 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 728d | JustABet | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,608 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 728d |  Justifax | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,597 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 728d | MustafaAbuYunes | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,555 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 728d |  DonkeyDonkey999 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $12,512 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 728d | bzbz | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,788 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 728d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe32 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,687 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 728d | SlavaUkraini | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,558 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 728d | CC3-008 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,268 | −$61 −2.7% | — |
| 728d | Pen-Vitamin-Keys | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $8,239 | −$526 −6.4% | — |
| 728d |  ImJustKen | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $12,072 | +$636 +5.3% | 20 |
| 728d | homestead | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo11¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 21 |
| 728d | w534zerg439gj4i3gh8ewhfggt54z | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo12¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 25 |
| 728d | CC3-008 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,171 | +$158 +7.3% | 20 |
| 728d |  Ziomancer | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | −$219 −11% | — |
| 728d |  ARudeEgg | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$119 +10% | 20 |
| 728d |  carp3 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $6,748 | +$2,067 +31% | 20 |
| 728d | Mayne | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $7,989 | −$2,133 −27% | — |
| 728d | carp | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,785 | −$305 −11% | — |
| 728d |  50Whence | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes18¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$7,288 +456% | 23 |
| 728d | Mandooo4 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes19¢ → 100¢ | $6,500 | +$28,300 +435% | 31 |
| 728d | KingTrader2024 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $3,203 | −$3,203 −100% | 20 |
| 728d |  Car | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo89¢ → 0¢ | $2,068 | +$2,068 +100% | — |
| 728d | Roger2024 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,509 | −$1,509 −100% | 20 |
| 728d | Nowhere-Man2 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $5,829 | −$5,829 −100% | 20 |
| 728d | hmmmmm-3655 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $28,812 | −$28,812 −100% | 23 |
| 728d | Justifax | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $4,424 | −$4,424 −100% | 20 |
| 728d | Mayne | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes20¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$8,122 +406% | 24 |
| 728d | WigglyWaffles2 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo91¢ → 0¢ | $6,244 | −$6,244 −100% | 20 |
| 728d | Predicktor-309 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 728d | jl3128776 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,001 | −$1,001 −100% | 20 |
| 728d |  MustacheBatman | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo86¢ → 0¢ | $4,300 | +$4,300 +100% | — |
| 728d |  Nancy-Pelosi | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | −$1,700 −100% | 20 |
| 728d | carp | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 20 |
| 728d |  kosugasrevenge | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $3,224 | +$8,456 +262% | 25 |
| 728d |  NotTruthTerminal3 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $6,146 | −$6,146 −100% | 20 |
| 728d | ICountElectricSheep | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,044 | −$1,044 −100% | 20 |
| 728d | yuv1410 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes29¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$2,813 +249% | 21 |
| 728d | yuv1410 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,226 | +$1,226 +100% | — |
| 728d | spilledjuice | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $13,155 | −$13,155 −100% | 20 |
| 728d | cooker-111 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 20 |
| 728d | SuperTrooper123 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$4,584 +153% | 22 |
| 728d | UMAhas2CATS | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | −$1,005 −100% | 20 |
| 728d | Moj3 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $4,148 | −$4,148 −100% | 21 |
| 728d | Car5 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $9,128 | −$9,128 −100% | 21 |
| 728d | Paimei | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,824 | −$1,824 −100% | 20 |
| 728d | zedekz | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $1,034 | −$1,034 −100% | 20 |
| 728d | ImJustKen3 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $10,799 | −$10,799 −100% | 21 |
| 728d | Saltyballs | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,025 | +$1,025 +100% | — |
| 729d | MustacheBatman | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $2,440 | −$2,440 −100% | 22 |
| 729d |  just.some.guy6 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $11,215 | −$11,215 −100% | 21 |
| 729d | yuv1410 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,442 | −$1,442 −100% | 22 |
| 729d | Magamyman | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 23 |
| 729d |  Rezas10002 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo82¢ → 0¢ | $2,462 | +$2,462 +100% | — |
| 730d | Dogsilog | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $4,229 | −$4,229 −100% | 22 |
| 731d | Saltyballs2 fills | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 22 |
| 731d | addicts | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | SellNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,090 | +$1,090 +100% | — |
| 731d | Aduiwha | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $1,886 | −$1,886 −100% | 23 |
| 731d | Uuhxuihwui | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $1,148 | −$1,148 −100% | 23 |
aldynspeedruns25,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies between October 18, 2024 (inclusive), and October 25, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.