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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Later | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Monday or earlier | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tuesday | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wednesday | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Thursday | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Friday | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saturday | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sunday | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 733d | Nowhere-Man5 fills | Later | BuyYes>99¢ | $26,956 | +$44 +0.2% | 20 |
| 733d | CC3-008 | Later | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,536 | −$19 −0.8% | — |
| 733d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Sunday | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,796 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 733d | WigglyWaffles2 fills | Later | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,659 | +$43 +1.2% | 20 |
| 733d | hmmmmm-3656 fills | Sunday | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,175 | +$141 +1.1% | 20 |
| 733d | hmmmmm-3655 fills | Later | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,760 | +$70 +1.0% | 20 |
| 733d |  overthinkingchamp2 fills | Later | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,305 | +$293 +8.9% | 22 |
| 733d | WigglyWaffles | Sunday | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,411 | +$44 +1.8% | 20 |
| 733d |  xoxoxololxo | Sunday | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,917 | +$80 +2.0% | 20 |
| 734d | overthinkingchamp | Sunday | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,947 | +$69 +2.4% | 21 |
| 734d | Paimei | Sunday | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,745 | +$53 +3.0% | 21 |
| 734d |  AlastorOrion | Saturday | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 734d | Hello12345679 | Sunday | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$46 +4.2% | 21 |
| 734d | Hello12345679 | Saturday | SellNo>99¢ | $3,017 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 734d | Cocksia | Saturday | SellNo>99¢ | $2,050 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 734d | WigglyWaffles | Saturday | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,503 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 734d | marram2 fills | Later | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,693 | −$307 −8.3% | — |
| 734d | Paimei | Saturday | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,710 | +$36 +2.1% | 20 |
| 734d | overthinkingchamp | Saturday | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,635 | +$122 +1.4% | 20 |
| 734d | Cocksia | Saturday | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,005 | +$46 +2.3% | 20 |
| 735d | xoxoxololxo | Saturday | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,827 | +$90 +2.4% | 21 |
| 735d | Hello12345679 | Saturday | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,918 | +$102 +3.5% | 21 |
| 735d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | Friday | SellNo>99¢ | $1,552 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 735d | jl3128776 | Saturday | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | +$80 +5.3% | 21 |
| 735d | tsll | Later | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,797 | +$427 +7.4% | 21 |
| 735d |  BlackSky123 | Friday | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,153 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 735d | jl3128776 | Later | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$104 +9.9% | 22 |
| 735d | Pale-EyelashesNew account | Friday | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,789 | +$35 +0.5% | 20 |
| 735d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | Friday | BuyNo100¢ | $1,476 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 735d | marram | Later | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $7,999 | +$1,299 +16% | 22 |
| 735d | xoxoxololxo | Friday | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,725 | +$103 +2.8% | 20 |
| 736d | Cocksia | Thursday | SellNo>99¢ | $1,942 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 736d |  pirateshere | Thursday | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,108 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 736d | longtern | Thursday | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,161 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 736d | rpo | Thursday | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,515 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 736d | overthinkingchamp2 fills | Thursday | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,246 | +$148 +1.2% | 20 |
| 736d |  digital | Later | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,432 | −$273 −19% | — |
| 736d | hmmmmm-3652 fills | Thursday | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,243 | +$48 +1.1% | 20 |
| 736d | Cocksia | Thursday | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,898 | +$45 +2.4% | 20 |
| 736d | Pale-EyelashesNew account | Thursday | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $9,792 | +$625 +6.4% | 23 |
| 736d | tsll | Thursday | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$66 +6.4% | 20 |
| 736d |  grugzilla | Thursday | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | +$100 +6.4% | 20 |
| 736d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Wednesday | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 737d | Nowhere-Man | Wednesday | SellNo>99¢ | $1,637 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 737d | hmmmmm-3652 fills | Wednesday | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,801 | +$88 +1.3% | 20 |
| 737d | xoxoxololxo | Thursday | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,587 | +$138 +3.8% | 21 |
| 737d | Cocksia | Wednesday | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,442 | +$51 +3.5% | 20 |
| 737d | grugzilla | Wednesday | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,896 | +$79 +4.2% | 20 |
| 738d |  scottilicious | Thursday | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,944 | +$752 +15% | 22 |
| 738d | Mou-4543 fills | Later | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $4,679 | +$2,743 +59% | 22 |
| 738d | cmoesn | Later | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | −$435 −41% | — |
| 738d | VvVv | Tuesday | SellNo>99¢ | $1,481 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 738d | Cocksia | Tuesday | SellNo>99¢ | $1,442 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 738d | VvVv | Tuesday | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,334 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 738d | 0xffffffff | Later | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,789 | +$537 +30% | 22 |
| 738d | Joe111-159 | Tuesday | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,849 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 738d | pirateshere | Tuesday | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,123 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 738d |  MustacheBatman | Tuesday | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,604 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 738d |  ImJustKen | Later | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $6,731 | +$5,497 +82% | 22 |
| 738d | scottilicious | Wednesday | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,798 | +$95 +5.3% | 21 |
This is a market on predicting the timing of a military response from Israel against Iran.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Later means the market gives it about 100%.