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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friday | 100% | +92 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Monday or earlier | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tuesday | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Wednesday | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thursday | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saturday | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Sunday | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Later | 0% | −81 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 728d | Isilidur1 | Friday | SellYes>99¢ | $4,074 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 728d | rpo | Friday | SellYes>99¢ | $2,788 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 728d | Gameron234 | Friday | SellYes>99¢ | $3,447 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 728d | longtern | Friday | SellYes>99¢ | $1,952 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 728d |  BlackSky123 | Friday | SellYes>99¢ | $1,500 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 728d | longtern | Friday | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,319 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 728d |  pirateshere | Friday | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,255 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 728d | rpo | Friday | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,329 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 728d | ulfric | Friday | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,202 | −$29 −0.9% | — |
| 728d | WigglyWaffles | Friday | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,158 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 728d | WigglyWaffles | Saturday | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 728d |  ANudeEgg3 fills | Friday | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,073 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 728d |  NotTruthTerminal | Friday | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,093 | −$72 −1.4% | — |
| 728d | Rainiak | Friday | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,754 | +$36 +2.0% | 20 |
| 728d | Ayeye | Later | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,921 | +$186 +6.4% | 21 |
| 728d |  50Whence | Friday | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,565 | +$315 +4.2% | 20 |
| 728d |  carp | Friday | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,842 | −$502 −18% | — |
| 728d | oVyg7f | Later | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$67 +6.4% | 21 |
| 728d | oVyg7f | Saturday | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$54 +5.0% | 21 |
| 728d | 0xfe91…70ff | Saturday | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,784 | +$92 +5.2% | 21 |
| 728d | 0xfe91…70ff | Later | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,460 | +$540 +6.4% | 21 |
| 728d | NotTruthTerminal | Friday | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,837 | +$263 +5.4% | 20 |
| 728d | carp | Friday | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $4,015 | +$1,199 +30% | 20 |
| 728d |  ImJustKen | Friday | BuyYes20¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$4,073 +401% | 20 |
| 728d |  JJo2 fills | Friday | SellNo85¢ → 0¢ | $4,365 | +$4,365 +100% | — |
| 728d |  P0lieM4rketCEO | Friday | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,517 | −$1,517 −100% | 20 |
| 728d | Mandooo | Saturday | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 28 |
| 728d | Mandooo | Friday | BuyYes24¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$3,132 +313% | 20 |
| 728d | hmmmmm-3652 fills | Later | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $5,934 | −$5,934 −100% | 24 |
| 729d | Magamyman | Later | BuyNo19¢ → 100¢ | $1,867 | +$8,049 +431% | 29 |
| 729d | Hello12345679 | Friday | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $3,432 | −$3,432 −100% | 21 |
| 729d | Hello12345679 | Thursday | SellNo>99¢ | $3,432 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 729d |  overthinkingchamp2 fills | Friday | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $6,155 | −$6,155 −100% | 21 |
| 729d | overthinkingchamp | Sunday | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | +$62 +3.2% | 21 |
| 729d | overthinkingchamp | Later | BuyYes88¢ → 0¢ | $1,144 | −$1,144 −100% | 22 |
| 729d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Thursday | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,006 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 729d | hmmmmm-3656 fills | Thursday | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,502 | +$360 +2.3% | 20 |
| 729d |  pyrex | Later | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $1,716 | −$1,716 −100% | 24 |
| 729d | overthinkingchamp2 fills | Thursday | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,651 | +$674 +6.3% | 22 |
| 730d | Hello12345679 | Thursday | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,282 | +$98 +4.3% | 21 |
| 730d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | Thursday | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,953 | +$147 +7.5% | 22 |
| 730d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe32 fills | Wednesday | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,441 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 730d | overthinkingchamp | Wednesday | SellNo>99¢ | $5,119 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 730d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | Wednesday | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,477 | +$12 +0.5% | 20 |
| 730d |  MustacheBatman | Later | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,086 | −$1,086 −100% | 22 |
| 730d | hmmmmm-3652 fills | Wednesday | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,244 | +$271 +2.9% | 20 |
| 730d |  just.some.guy3 fills | Later | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $4,674 | −$4,674 −100% | 22 |
| 730d | overthinkingchamp2 fills | Wednesday | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,683 | +$149 +2.6% | 21 |
| 731d |  xoxoxololxo | Thursday | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$104 +5.0% | 21 |
| 731d | overthinkingchamp | Tuesday | SellNo>99¢ | $4,877 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 731d | BlackSky123 | Tuesday | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,714 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 731d | overthinkingchamp3 fills | Tuesday | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,880 | +$100 +1.7% | 20 |
| 731d | hmmmmm-3652 fills | Tuesday | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,707 | +$84 +1.8% | 20 |
| 732d | xoxoxololxo | Tuesday | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,794 | +$84 +3.0% | 21 |
| 732d | Hello12345679 | Monday or earlier | SellNo>99¢ | $3,173 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 732d | hmmmmm-3652 fills | Monday or earlier | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,125 | +$37 +0.9% | 20 |
| 732d | Hello12345679 | Monday or earlier | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 20 |
| 733d | tsll | Later | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $4,652 | −$4,652 −100% | 22 |
| 733d | xoxoxololxo | Monday or earlier | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,742 | +$52 +1.9% | 21 |
| 733d | overthinkingchamp | Monday or earlier | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$191 +1.9% | 21 |
aldynspeedruns23,496 sharesThis is a market on predicting the timing of Israel's military response against Iran.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Friday means the market gives it about 100%.