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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday, June 22 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tuesday, June 24 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Thursday, June 19 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tuesday, June 17 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wednesday, June 18 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wednesday, June 25 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Friday, June 20 | 100% | +3 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Monday, June 16 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sunday, June 15 | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Friday, June 27 | 0% | −1 pts | −82 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Monday, June 30 | 0% | +1 pts | −10 pts | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| Thursday, June 26 | 0% | −5 pts | −81 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Monday, June 23 | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Saturday, June 21 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sunday, June 29 | 0% | −2 pts | −75 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saturday, June 28 | 0% | −4 pts | −75 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saturday, June 14 | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 479d | LilOleg | Monday, June 30 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,995 | −$105 −2.6% | — |
| 479d | curry300 | Monday, June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,091 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 480d |  HolyMoses72 fills | Monday, June 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,159 | +$63 +2.9% | 21 |
| 480d | AssafAm | Monday, June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,006 | +$36 +1.2% | 20 |
| 480d |  Dumbeldor2003 | Monday, June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,601 | +$29 +0.6% | 20 |
| 480d | AZwater | Monday, June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,813 | +$22 +1.2% | 20 |
| 480d | LilOleg | Monday, June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,059 | +$41 +1.0% | 20 |
| 480d |  MettaWorldPeace00 | Monday, June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,318 | +$15 +1.1% | 20 |
| 480d | PolyPocket | Sunday, June 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,387 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 480d |  UwO3 fills | Sunday, June 29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,402 | +$32 +0.4% | 20 |
| 481d | middlewesterner6664 fills | Monday, June 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,963 | +$373 +2.9% | 20 |
| 481d | MettaWorldPeace00 | Sunday, June 29 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | +$18 +1.4% | 20 |
| 481d | Dumbeldor2003 | Sunday, June 29 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,400 | +$100 +1.2% | 20 |
| 481d | PolyPocket | Sunday, June 29 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$20 +1.5% | 20 |
| 481d | PolyPocket | Saturday, June 28 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,336 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 481d | UwO2 fills | Saturday, June 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,891 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 481d |  imtiredb0ss3 fills | Saturday, June 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,457 | +$29 +0.3% | 20 |
| 482d | affs20791 | Saturday, June 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,603 | +$29 +1.1% | 20 |
| 482d | LilOleg | Sunday, June 29 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,969 | +$90 +2.3% | 20 |
| 482d | Dumbeldor2003 | Saturday, June 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$49 +1.2% | 20 |
| 482d | sarethian | Saturday, June 28 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | −$20 −1.9% | — |
| 482d | Thin-Print | Sunday, June 29 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,502 | +$67 +2.7% | 20 |
| 482d | Thin-Print | Saturday, June 28 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,743 | +$36 +2.1% | 21 |
| 482d |  SappySeal67 | Friday, June 27 | SellNo>99¢ | $13,579 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 482d | rwo | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $44,627 | +$45 +0.1% | 20 |
| 482d | 854A78432 fills | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,710 | +$92 +1.0% | 20 |
| 482d | SappySeal673 fills | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,791 | +$58 +0.6% | 20 |
| 482d | imtiredb0ss | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,383 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 482d | sarethian | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,374 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 482d | m0x0m | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,500 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 483d |  k7X9mP2qW4 | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$72 +7.2% | 20 |
| 483d |  mr.ozi | Friday, June 27 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,494 | −$14 −0.9% | — |
| 483d | IKANYAN | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 483d | nonkenny90 | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$25 +1.7% | 20 |
| 483d |  BFBB | Friday, June 27 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$24 −2.3% | — |
| 483d | Dumbeldor20032 fills | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,636 | +$127 +3.5% | 21 |
| 483d | poligott | Friday, June 27 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | −$27 −2.1% | — |
| 483d | marktangent | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$73 +1.8% | 20 |
| 483d | ilex | Friday, June 27 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,933 | −$67 −3.5% | — |
| 483d | UwO | Thursday, June 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,460 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 483d | rwo | Thursday, June 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,611 | +$24 +0.3% | 20 |
| 484d |  MakeEthereumGreatAgain | Thursday, June 26 | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $4,900 | −$4,900 −100% | 36 |
| 484d | affs20791 | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,434 | +$81 +3.3% | 21 |
| 484d | Dumbeldor2003 | Thursday, June 26 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$46 +0.9% | 20 |
| 484d |  SteamRollerPennies | Thursday, June 26 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,109 | +$133 +3.2% | 21 |
| 484d | middlewesterner666 | Sunday, June 29 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$140 +5.6% | 20 |
| 484d | qwufnr-3849j | Thursday, June 26 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,266 | −$118 −5.2% | — |
| 484d | nonkenny90 | Monday, June 30 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$100 +9.9% | 21 |
| 484d |  NERA | Thursday, June 26 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | −$30 −3.0% | — |
| 484d | Plainforce | Thursday, June 26 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | −$39 −2.6% | — |
| 484d | Emme1 | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$36 +2.7% | 20 |
| 484d | Emme1 | Thursday, June 26 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$45 +2.7% | 21 |
| 484d | lijialijia2020 | Sunday, June 29 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,143 | +$274 +8.7% | 21 |
| 484d | ExDeus | Wednesday, June 25 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,497 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 484d | qwufnr-3849j | Thursday, June 26 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,289 | +$95 +4.2% | 21 |
| 484d | SappySeal67 | Wednesday, June 25 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,312 | +$20 +0.6% | 20 |
| 485d |  Fuentes31 | Wednesday, June 25 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 485d |  scout | Wednesday, June 25 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$9 +0.8% | 20 |
| 485d |  BeatnikBoogie | Wednesday, June 25 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$10 +0.9% | 20 |
| 485d | philogy | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$87 +7.9% | 21 |
VAP19,000 sharesThis is a market on the likelihood and timing of an Israeli military strike on Iran.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Sunday, June 22 means the market gives it about 100%.