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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722d | Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November? | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,726 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 723d | Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,302 | +$178 +2.1% | 4 | |
| 723d | Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,015 | −$25 −1.3% | — | |
| 725d | Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$21 −1.9% | — | |
| 725d | Happy-Go-Lucky-Caliber | Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,419 | −$67 −2.8% | — |
| 726d | Alder | Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,835 | +$32 +1.1% | 4 |
| 727d | Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,355 | +$43 +1.8% | 4 | |
| 727d | Cool600 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$42 +2.5% | 4 |
| 735d | Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | +$64 +2.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has ceased all ground operations within and has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon between October 10 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.