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Polymarket wallet 0xa51b8d56a3ae3311c68111284d00af22f3fb26b1 · on Polymarket since Oct 24, 2024 · also shown as Inborn-Brood
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 14¢ → 5¢ | $10 | −$18 −64% |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 106 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $6 | −$8 −58% |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 99¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$47 −96% |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 99¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$14 −94% |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 6¢ → 8¢ | $0 | +$0 +33% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 135 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 800 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$498 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 104 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.