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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 967d |  bob100 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,166 | −$35 −1.6% | — |
| 969d | spongebobn | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,148 | −$174 −4.2% | — |
| 969d |  ohwell | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,614 | +$65 +4.0% | 21 |
| 970d | ahahahah | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | −$101 −9.9% | — |
| 975d |  WashTrade | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | −$270 −22% | — |
| 983d | spongebobn | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,224 | +$1,179 +53% | 20 |
| 989d |  intelmarketmaker2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $3,996 | −$3,996 −100% | 20 |
| 990d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? | BuyNo40¢ → 100¢ | $2,444 | +$3,667 +150% | 22 |
| 994d | intelmarketmaker2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? | SellYes68¢ → 0¢ | $3,171 | +$3,171 +100% | — |
| 995d | Donk-513 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,188 | −$1,188 −100% | 20 |
| 995d |  50Whence | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $1,241 | −$1,241 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between January 27, 11:00 AM ET and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on January 31, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.