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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 753d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,124 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 753d | VvVv | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 753d |  MLBksRETARD2 fills | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,549 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 753d | SlavaUkraini2 fills | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,703 | +$68 +0.4% | 20 |
| 753d |  50Whence7 fills | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,962 | +$50 +0.3% | 20 |
| 754d |  just.some.guy | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September? | SellNo100¢ | $3,980 | −$20 −0.5% | — |
| 755d |  DEGENKHAN | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,208 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 756d | okcoolstorybro2 fills | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,900 | +$39 +1.0% | 20 |
| 756d | panasmrs | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,785 | +$22 +0.8% | 20 |
| 756d | Qtyu | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,298 | +$78 +6.0% | 20 |
| 757d | just.some.guy2 fills | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,972 | +$279 +9.4% | 21 |
| 757d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $10,601 | +$459 +4.3% | 20 |
| 758d |  SaulGoodmanEsq | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September? | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $1,043 | −$1,043 −100% | 22 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Israel and Hezbollah both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two parties that will go into effect by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of at least a temporary pause in the Israel-Hezbollah military conflict, must pertain to all theaters of military conflict between the two countries, and be declared through official channels by both parties. A humanitarian pause will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. If only one party (e.g. only Israel, or only Hezbollah) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.