Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 26 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110d | sllllllllllllllllllll | June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,060 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 110d | Poory2 fills | June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,224 | +$56 +0.8% | 4 |
| 115d | thoodr | June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,105 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 120d | gghff | June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$23 +2.0% | 4 |
| 122d | Playful-Collateral | June 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | −$16 −1.4% | — |
| 122d | apple-pi | June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 123d | June 30 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,401 | −$81 −5.8% | — | |
| 125d | June 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,616 | +$56 +3.4% | 4 | |
| 126d | Sticky-Closing | June 30 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | −$53 −5.0% | — |
| 126d | Sticky-Closing | June 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,308 | +$62 +4.7% | 4 |
| 138d | LJa7io23MCv954j | June 30 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,384 | −$50 −3.6% | — |
| 144d | LJa7io23MCv954j | June 30 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,351 | +$84 +6.2% | 4 |
| 146d | Poory | May 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,121 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 180d | Martinette | April 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 183d | phsr | April 26 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | −$25 −2.1% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for June 30 means the market gives it about 0%.