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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 100% | +73 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −40 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russel | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kimi Antonelli | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Albon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jack Doohan | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 565d | EVplusrebate2 fills | Lando Norris | SellNo>99¢ | $4,612 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 565d | Mahoro | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,248 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 565d |  vaxastadnyk | Lando Norris | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,580 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 565d | 025d2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,714 | +$230 +8.5% | 7 |
| 566d | 025d2 fills | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,760 | +$740 +16% | 8 |
| 566d | SaylorMoon | Max Verstappen | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $1,958 | +$3,062 +156% | 12 |
| 566d | ryzt | Lando Norris | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | +$859 +72% | 12 |
| 566d | cigarettes | George Russel | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$27 +2.7% | 5 |
| 566d | cigarettes | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$9 +0.9% | 4 |
| 566d | cigarettes | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$18 +1.7% | 4 |
| 566d |  Blunderton | Max Verstappen | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $2,673 | −$2,673 −100% | 12 |
| 566d |  Endgametheory3 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $4,972 | −$4,972 −100% | 8 |
| 566d |  UwO2 fills | George Russel | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,600 | +$191 +2.5% | 5 |
| 566d | EVplusrebate | Lando Norris | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$880 +79% | 12 |
| 567d | kaktuss | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,610 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 567d | kaktuss | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,026 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 567d | ebook | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,063 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 567d | nonkenny90 | George Russel | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$47 +4.5% | 5 |
| 567d | video | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,144 | +$28 +0.3% | 4 |
| 567d | neweresd4 fills | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,006 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 567d | supura5 fills | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,008 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 567d | Murky-AirfieldNew account | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,014 | +$16 +0.2% | 4 |
| 567d | superhi7 fills | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,013 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 567d | 0x827b…68195 fills | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,013 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 567d | nomzm5 fills | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,013 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 567d | Flat-LocketNew account | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,012 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 567d | 0xf155…f8053 fills | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,008 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 567d | 0x5fe4…c028 | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 568d | Fubar | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 568d | teatr | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 568d | bloodss3 fills | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,076 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 568d | lata80 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,209 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 568d | lata80 | Yuki Tsunoda | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 568d | handlarz | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,500 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 568d | handlarz | Yuki Tsunoda | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,539 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 568d | handlarz | Alex Albon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,841 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 568d | wataha | Alex Albon | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,752 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 568d | wataha | Yuki Tsunoda | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,293 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 568d | wataha | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,150 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 568d | birdsmen | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,231 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 568d | bicyclee | Lance Stroll | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,052 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 568d | bicyclee | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,050 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 568d | suzuu | Yuki Tsunoda | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,079 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
| 568d | hamsterr | Jack Doohan | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,137 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 568d | bardowie | Lance Stroll | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,210 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 568d | idkes5 fills | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,022 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 568d | 0xc194…3c2a4 fills | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,018 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 568d | norush | Nico Hulkenberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,180 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 568d | properel5 fills | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,022 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 568d | sory5 fills | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,022 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 568d | bigmanses6 fills | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,027 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 568d | domines6 fills | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,027 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 568d | aori4 fills | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,018 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 568d | superes4 fills | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,021 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 568d | tarioses5 fills | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,040 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 568d | trioble7 fills | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,056 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 568d | oftens8 fills | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,064 | +$16 +0.2% | 4 |
| 568d | dowmes6 fills | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,049 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 568d | doggiee | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,069 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 568d | zdrada | Esteban Ocon | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,080 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
Tice-Nits50 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025 Japan Grand Prix scheduled for April 6, 2025. If the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after April 28, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 100%.