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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +66 pts | +60 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 456d | sjd | Joe Biden book deal in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,698 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 456d | Joe Biden book deal in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,110 | +$30 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 456d | Joe Biden book deal in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,997 | +$31 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 457d | Joe Biden book deal in 2025? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $17,358 | +$1,307 +7.5% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden signs a book deal at any point between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from Biden or a book publisher, however consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.