Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 418d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Joe Biden pre-debate Ambien use confirmed? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,211 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 436d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Joe Biden pre-debate Ambien use confirmed? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,753 | +$28 +1.6% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Joe Biden was using Ambien or another prescription sleep aid primarily prescribed for insomnia in the period leading up to the June 27, 2024, presidential debate is made public by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes but is not limited to public statements from Joe Biden, a named personal physician, official medical records, or other definitive evidence. Unverified or anonymous claims, or documents not substantiated by credible reporting will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from Joe Biden.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.