Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 882d |  BigMike112 fills | Joseph Kony found by May 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,421 | +$130 +3.8% | 4 |
| 902d |  ANudeEgg | Joseph Kony found by May 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 4 |
| 903d | Lmrmagookendb | Joseph Kony found by May 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | +$134 +8.7% | 4 |
| 903d |  ImJustKen | Joseph Kony found by May 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$120 +8.7% | 4 |
On April 27 the Rolling Stone reported that Russian Mercenaries were close to apprehending Joseph Kony (see https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/russian-mercenaries-wagner-joseph-kony-warlord-1235011454/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joseph Kony is apprehended and/or captured by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of credible sources definitively stating Joseph Kony has been apprehended/captured by any party.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.