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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armenia | 42% | +3 pts | +24 pts | 25¢ · 59¢ (34¢) | $155 | in 281d |
| Spain | 24% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 10¢ · 38¢ (28¢) | — | in 281d |
| Malta | 20% | +6 pts | +18 pts | <1¢ · 40¢ (40¢) | — | in 281d |
| Ukraine | 14% | −2 pts | +1 pts | 12¢ · 17¢ (5¢) | $13.2 | in 281d |
| France | 12% | −2 pts | −4 pts | 6¢ · 18¢ (12¢) | — | in 281d |
| North Macedonia | 7% | −2 pts | −5 pts | <1¢ · 13¢ (13¢) | — | in 281d |
| Poland | 6% | −7 pts | −17 pts | 1¢ · 10¢ (9¢) | — | in 281d |
| Georgia | 4% | −4 pts | −9 pts | — · 8¢ | $50 | in 281d |
| Cyprus | 4% | 0 pts | −8 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | $68.5 | in 281d |
| San Marino | 4% | 0 pts | −6 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | in 281d |
| Ireland | 3% | −10 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 281d |
| Netherlands | 2% | +1 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | in 281d |
| Albania | 2% | +2 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 281d |
| Croatia | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 281d |
| Montenegro | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 281d |
| Portugal | 1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 281d |
| Italy | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 281d |
| Azerbaijan | 1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 281d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
7Peace155 shares
ooops79 shares
LornaPredicts45 shares
degenpress40 sharesThis market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Junior Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Junior Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Junior Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Junior Eurovision (https://junioreurovision.tv/), including live footage of Junior Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 42¢ for Armenia means the market gives it about 42%.