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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 14 | 100% | +80 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| August 31 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| August 26 | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| August 19 | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| August 18 | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| August 21 | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| August 20 | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72d |  scout | August 14 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,886 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 72d | biigballerbrand | August 14 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,598 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 72d |  thx4playing | August 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,019 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 72d | thx4playing | August 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,028 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 72d | thx4playing | August 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,666 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 72d | thx4playing3 fills | August 14 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,129 | +$48 +0.9% | 4 |
| 72d |  lranon2nd | August 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 72d |  Ahpo | August 14 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$7 +0.7% | 4 |
| 72d |  yen4u | August 14 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,892 | +$50 +1.7% | 4 |
| 72d | Peaceful-Fire-BellNew account | August 14 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,637 | +$140 +1.8% | 5 |
| 72d |  AllByMyseIf | August 26 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,010 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 72d | AllByMyseIf | August 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,918 | +$20 +0.2% | 4 |
| 72d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | August 14 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$24 +1.2% | 4 |
| 72d | smallf2 fills | August 14 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,952 | +$128 +2.6% | 4 |
| 72d |  Car | August 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,491 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 72d |  Parz1vaI2 fills | August 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,600 | +$44 +0.8% | 4 |
| 72d | Electricy | August 19 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$48 +4.4% | 4 |
| 72d | Parz1vaI | August 14 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | +$89 +6.6% | 5 |
| 72d | SHUTYOURMOUSE | August 18 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,692 | +$93 +5.5% | 4 |
| 72d |  bondbondbond | August 18 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,253 | +$113 +9.0% | 5 |
| 73d | Parz1vaI | August 26 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $5,082 | +$628 +12% | 4 |
| 73d |  Nik- | August 14 | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,498 | −$1,498 −100% | 4 |
| 75d | Electricy | August 26 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $3,401 | +$802 +24% | 4 |
| 75d | KiernanMeister | August 19 | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $1,447 | +$3,686 +255% | 6 |
| 75d | KiernanMeister | August 26 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | +$462 +40% | 4 |
Spirit-LT1,388 shares
labistiiia1,000 sharesKai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon. If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream. Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon. The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for August 14 means the market gives it about 100%.