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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716d |  Kalags | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,436 | +$60 +4.2% | 4 |
| 716d | outsidertrading | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,909 | +$294 +7.5% | 4 |
| 716d | MartianGangster | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,891 | +$142 +7.5% | 4 |
| 716d |  andy29 | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $8,584 | +$4,828 +56% | 4 |
| 716d | presbet2 fills | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $5,136 | −$2,464 −48% | — |
| 716d | 8BlocksCapital | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,590 | +$410 +26% | 4 |
| 716d | Xav | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $7,434 | +$7,434 +100% | — |
| 716d | Cool600 | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,680 | +$1,320 +49% | 4 |
| 717d | presbet5 fills | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $35,852 | +$17,005 +47% | 6 |
| 717d | arnri | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,085 | −$1,085 −100% | 4 |
| 717d |  WindWalk32 fills | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $6,003 | +$6,003 +100% | — |
| 718d | humanperson-316 | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $9,919 | +$6,081 +61% | 12 |
| 718d | lasquito | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 14 |
| 718d |  asakku | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | +$883 +64% | 12 |
| 718d | Caligulas.dog | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$6,182 +62% | 12 |
| 718d |  SemyonMarmeladov | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,129 | −$1,129 −100% | 9 |
| 718d | zhamilia | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $2,254 | +$1,503 +67% | 9 |
| 718d |  SexPistols | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$800 +67% | 9 |
| 719d | Super-Campaign | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | +$890 +65% | 9 |
| 719d | JRB9 | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 11 |
| 719d | HarryPotterObamaSonic10Inu2 fills | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $3,396 | +$2,465 +73% | 9 |
| 720d |  itsgg | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | SellNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,773 | −$1,338 −75% | — |
| 720d |  UncleSmurf | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $1,057 | −$1,057 −100% | 9 |
| 720d | mk91 | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $4,250 | +$2,717 +64% | 9 |
| 721d | Xav | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $8,383 | −$8,383 −100% | 10 |
| 721d |  Apsalar | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | SellNo62¢ → 100¢ | $7,445 | −$4,558 −61% | — |
| 721d | Munners | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $2,463 | −$2,463 −100% | 8 |
| 721d | Apsalar | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $10,206 | +$6,804 +67% | 6 |
| 721d | DunkBruntley | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $3,196 | −$3,196 −100% | 9 |
| 721d | dinglepuff | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 10 |
| 722d | PrinceHal | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | +$1,020 +100% | — |
| 722d |  redbloodzcell | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,010 | +$990 +49% | 6 |
| 723d |  SecretFourteenthKey | Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep? | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $2,948 | −$2,948 −100% | 10 |
SecretFourteenthKey9,882 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris wins every Rust Belt swing state in the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market considers the following states as "Rust Belt swing states": Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.