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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $25M | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $50M | 0% | +27 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $100M | 0% | +2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $150M | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $200M | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302d |  ZhangMuZhi- | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,466 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 302d |  Cloverince2 fills | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,775 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 302d |  UwO | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,485 | +$41 +0.3% | 2 |
| 302d | btacc2 fills | $50M | SellNo56¢ → 100¢ | $6,432 | −$5,138 −80% | — |
| 302d | Saffroncrypto | $50M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$16 +1.1% | 2 |
| 302d |  berboche | $50M | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,258 | −$226 −1.8% | — |
| 302d | miraman3 fills | $50M | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $21,041 | +$1,297 +6.2% | 2 |
| 302d | kevin-airdrop | $50M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,897 | +$44 +1.5% | 2 |
| 302d |  25usdc | $50M | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | −$38 −3.0% | — |
| 302d | kobie3 | $50M | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,745 | −$52 −3.0% | — |
| 302d |  bau7 | $25M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,997 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 302d |  MasonsConqueredRome | $50M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,228 | −$23 −1.0% | — |
| 302d | Emperorvikky4 fills | $50M | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $6,893 | −$919 −13% | — |
| 302d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae1623 fills | $50M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,780 | +$108 +2.8% | 2 |
| 302d |  PlsDontCry2 fills | $50M | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,257 | +$209 +6.4% | 2 |
| 302d |  brayknows2 fills | $50M | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $6,449 | −$739 −11% | — |
| 302d |  AGPamBondi3 fills | $50M | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,571 | +$651 +6.2% | 2 |
| 302d | Bettingod | $50M | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | −$107 −8.6% | — |
| 302d |  ScottyNooo9 fills | $50M | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $35,346 | +$9,385 +27% | 2 |
| 302d | MistahFox | $50M | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,963 | +$233 +7.9% | 2 |
| 302d |  Rex4162 fills | $50M | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,879 | +$701 +14% | 2 |
| 302d |  NZProphet | $50M | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,381 | −$554 −23% | — |
| 302d | AGPamBondi2 fills | $25M | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,510 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 302d | PlsDontCry | $50M | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,216 | −$784 −24% | — |
| 302d | lablet | $50M | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$192 +18% | 2 |
| 302d | AleshaPoppvich | $50M | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,831 | +$365 +13% | 2 |
| 302d | maru-xan | $50M | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $3,019 | +$813 +27% | 2 |
| 302d | dube2 fills | $50M | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $6,888 | +$2,083 +30% | 2 |
| 302d | xplot2 fills | $50M | SellNo52¢ → 100¢ | $3,856 | −$3,527 −91% | — |
| 302d | gstrader | $50M | SellNo62¢ → 100¢ | $8,694 | −$5,276 −61% | — |
| 302d |  Euan | $50M | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $2,350 | +$2,446 +104% | 2 |
| 302d |  Dropper | $50M | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $3,061 | +$3,100 +101% | 2 |
| 302d | SEV7 | $25M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,844 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 302d |  DimasXT2 fills | $25M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,036 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 302d |  igor889 | $25M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,317 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 302d | SEV7 | $50M | SellYes62¢ → 0¢ | $2,763 | +$2,763 +100% | — |
| 302d | metatoy | $50M | SellYes73¢ → 0¢ | $1,795 | +$1,795 +100% | — |
| 302d | SEV7 | $50M | BuyYes98¢ → 0¢ | $4,548 | −$4,548 −100% | 2 |
| 302d | morganfreeman22837 fills | $50M | BuyYes95¢ → 0¢ | $252,917 | −$253K −100% | 2 |
| 302d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,803 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 302d | morganfreeman2289 fills | $50M | SellYes91¢ → 0¢ | $56,390 | +$56,390 +100% | — |
| 302d |  MUFAi | $150M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,881 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 302d | bau72 fills | $25M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,821 | +$34 +1.2% | 2 |
| 302d |  do-bronx | $25M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,192 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 303d | hopngos | $50M | BuyYes91¢ → 0¢ | $1,827 | −$1,827 −100% | 2 |
| 303d |  blackrabbit342 | $50M | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 2 |
| 303d | noneaa | $25M | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,459 | +$51 +0.4% | 2 |
| 303d |  Noixaref2 fills | $25M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,277 | +$25 +0.5% | 2 |
| 303d |  Alphax4 fills | $50M | BuyYes88¢ → 0¢ | $9,137 | −$9,137 −100% | 2 |
| 303d | btacc | $25M | BuyYes100¢ | $1,144 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 303d | Alphax | $25M | SellYes100¢ | $1,220 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 303d |  xart | $50M | SellYes92¢ → 0¢ | $1,104 | +$1,104 +100% | — |
| 303d | btacc | $50M | SellYes88¢ → 0¢ | $1,548 | +$1,548 +100% | — |
| 303d | btacc | $50M | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,342 | −$1,342 −100% | 2 |
| 303d | brayknows | $50M | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 2 |
| 303d | prepoma | $50M | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,239 | −$1,239 −100% | 2 |
| 303d | btacc2 fills | $50M | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,973 | +$615 +12% | 2 |
| 303d | zannie2 fills | $50M | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,206 | −$372 −17% | — |
| 303d | Alphax3 fills | $50M | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,552 | +$898 +20% | 2 |
| 303d | cako | $50M | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,570 | +$430 +17% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Kodiak's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Kodiak (https://x.com/kodiakfi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $25M means the market gives it about 100%.