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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 75% | +1 pts | +12 pts | 72¢ · 77¢ (5¢) | — | in 434d |
| June 30, 2027 | 21% | −1 pts | −7 pts | 20¢ · 21¢ (1¢) | — | in 250d |
| March 31, 2027 | 11% | — | — | 10¢ · 11¢ (1¢) | $1.63 | in 159d |
| December 31, 2026 | 6% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 4¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | $19.2 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51d | BetterHold | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo96¢ → 94¢ | $1,334 | −$22 −1.6% | 3 |
| 128d |  Hyperlong | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo69¢ → 94¢ | $1,503 | +$555 +37% | 7 |
| 130d |  WindsonC | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes69¢ → 6¢ | $2,000 | −$1,840 −92% | 7 |
| 160d | biatchnikka | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo64¢ → 94¢ | $2,100 | +$1,005 +48% | 7 |
| 178d | Ray777 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo24¢ → 94¢ | $1,920 | +$5,636 +294% | 10 |
| 190d | Jesuschristbro | December 31, 2026 | SellYes70¢ → 6¢ | $1,613 | +$1,486 +92% | — |
| 191d | Passionate-Geek2 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes80¢ → 6¢ | $7,900 | −$7,353 −93% | 5 |
| 192d | chftr | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo23¢ → 94¢ | $1,957 | +$6,082 +311% | 10 |
| 192d | binwhsxn | December 31, 2026 | SellYes77¢ → 6¢ | $2,184 | +$2,027 +93% | — |
| 192d |  prestigeworldwide | December 31, 2026 | SellNo22¢ → 94¢ | $1,500 | −$5,080 −339% | — |
| 194d | LisaSullivan7004 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo62¢ → 94¢ | $1,672 | +$875 +52% | 7 |
| 197d | BrittanyWeber4964 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo65¢ → 94¢ | $1,437 | +$651 +45% | 7 |
| 199d | KathyLawson7301 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo54¢ → 94¢ | $1,278 | +$957 +75% | 7 |
| 203d | rchiang | December 31, 2026 | SellYes28¢ → 6¢ | $1,004 | +$808 +80% | — |
| 208d | newer | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 208d |  elmcap22 fills | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,072 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 209d | trump1311 | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | AlmaHicks | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,048 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 211d | AlmaHicks | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,048 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 211d | JebLynch | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,048 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 211d | JulieSaunders | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,118 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 211d | IsadoraJenkins | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,118 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 211d | ShayaRogers | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,048 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 211d | FrancescaTownsend | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,098 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 211d | BonnieBean | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,048 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 211d | LandryJones | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,038 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 211d | DavinaMorris | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,048 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 212d | newer3 fills | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $41,181 | +$391 +1.0% | 2 |
| 212d | AitanaBurton | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | AshtinMyers | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,486 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 213d | AshtinMyers | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,487 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 213d | PersephonePearson2 fills | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,894 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 213d | LegacyRuiz2 fills | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,916 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 213d | LenaEvans2 fills | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,892 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 213d | AliyahGonzalez2 fills | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,880 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 213d | RyleighRoth | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,527 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 213d | BabyVC | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,426 | −$13 −0.3% | — |
| 215d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b043 fills | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,600 | +$55 +1.2% | 2 |
| 216d | biatchnikka | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,981 | −$19 −1.0% | — |
| 217d |  naggingbets | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,002 | −$18 −0.9% | — |
| 218d | naggingbets | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 218d | QMG-CORE | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | +$15 +1.1% | 2 |
| 218d |  qifengle-dev | December 31, 2026 | SellNo71¢ → 94¢ | $2,075 | −$685 −33% | — |
| 218d | gammatrap | December 31, 2026 | SellNo72¢ → 94¢ | $1,159 | −$361 −31% | — |
| 218d | Jesuschristbro | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes28¢ → 6¢ | $1,274 | −$1,024 −80% | 8 |
| 218d | okcoolstorybro | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,481 | +$34 +2.3% | 2 |
| 219d | tradexplorer | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo73¢ → 94¢ | $4,447 | +$1,313 +30% | 7 |
| 219d | tryingmyluckhere | December 31, 2026 | SellNo70¢ → 94¢ | $1,444 | −$504 −35% | — |
| 219d |  slimecity3 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo75¢ → 94¢ | $1,498 | +$391 +26% | 6 |
| 219d | polybettor | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,872 | +$19 +1.0% | 2 |
| 231d | rtert2 fills | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,697 | +$285 +6.1% | 2 |
| 232d | rchiang | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes81¢ → 6¢ | $2,494 | −$2,323 −93% | 5 |
| 241d | Perfect-SpeciesNew account | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 6 |
| 243d | nrod80 | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$163 +15% | 2 |
| 264d | fjujkcds | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes89¢ → 6¢ | $1,246 | −$1,168 −94% | 4 |
| 264d | ofyhjj | December 31, 2026 | SellYes89¢ → 6¢ | $2,314 | +$2,170 +94% | — |
| 264d | ccrssb | December 31, 2026 | SellYes80¢ → 6¢ | $1,582 | +$1,473 +93% | — |
| 264d | ofyhjj | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes80¢ → 6¢ | $1,360 | −$1,266 −93% | 5 |
| 268d | ChristopherKirk1630 | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | +$164 +14% | 2 |
| 276d | BabyVC | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$481 +9.6% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 75¢ for December 31, 2027 means the market gives it about 75%.