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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 12 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  Flipadelphia | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,861 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 304d |  emcor | December 31 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,044 | −$64 −3.1% | — |
| 307d | emcor | December 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,047 | +$61 +3.0% | 20 |
| 315d | Michael5289 | December 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,783 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | omaar123 | December 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,497 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 318d | theonlyking | December 31 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | −$87 −7.8% | — |
| 319d | rulki | December 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | +$207 +11% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kristi Noem ceases to be the U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security for any period of time between December 8, 2025, and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Noem's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 0%.