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Polymarket wallet 0xc8a7dbcc8030ed5dd3a2cf520791e040be620744 · on Polymarket since Dec 14, 2025 · also shown as Kaleidoscopic-Flesh
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 40¢ → 100¢ | $125 | +$75 +150% |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 185 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 838 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Kristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 752 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 833 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 540 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 221d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $50 |
| 285d | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | BuyYes19¢ | $100 |
| 285d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes40¢ | $50 |
| 285d | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | BuyNo27¢ | $50 |
| 313d | Trump out as President by March 31? | BuyYes5¢ | $40 |
| 313d | Kristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by December 31? | BuyYes6¢ | $43 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.