Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | −2 pts | −3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 232d | Kidpoker007 | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,432 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 232d | 64539564936 | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | SellYes100¢ | $1,285 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 232d |  TylerTurden2 fills | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,590 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 232d |  Car | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,096 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 232d | okcoolstorybro6 fills | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,388 | +$109 +0.3% | 4 |
| 232d | DrearyCritic18364592 | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,105 | −$18 −0.8% | — |
| 232d |  psyph3r | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,667 | −$13 −0.8% | — |
| 232d |  WarriorPooh | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,613 | −$177 −4.9% | — |
| 232d |  AgricultureSecretary | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,618 | +$18 +1.1% | 4 |
| 232d |  mombil | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | +$25 +2.0% | 4 |
| 232d |  Newsance | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,920 | +$372 +13% | 4 |
| 232d |  Labtrador | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | +$291 +24% | 4 |
| 232d | OddChain | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$635 +25% | 4 |
| 232d | WarriorPooh | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,975 | +$815 +27% | 4 |
| 232d | 64539564936 | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$291 +29% | 4 |
| 232d | DrearyCritic18364592 | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$578 +39% | 4 |
| 232d | SaylorMoon | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,959 | +$1,128 +38% | 4 |
| 240d |  poorpleb4 fills | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $5,248 | −$5,248 −100% | 4 |
| 248d | poorpleb3 fills | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $7,209 | +$7,209 +100% | — |
| 250d | AssuredAdverts2 fills | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $6,650 | −$6,650 −100% | 4 |
| 252d |  Milktoast2 fills | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyNo86¢ → 0¢ | $3,973 | −$3,973 −100% | 4 |
| 253d | simpleman2 fills | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | SellNo92¢ → 0¢ | $2,684 | +$2,684 +100% | — |
| 256d |  Casdifer | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | SellNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,651 | +$1,651 +100% | — |
| 260d | Anon55662 fills | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $3,393 | −$3,393 −100% | 4 |
| 266d | surf | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $2,250 | −$2,250 −100% | 4 |
| 267d | Hooker999 | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | SellNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,454 | +$1,454 +100% | — |
| 268d | Hooker999 | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $1,406 | −$1,406 −100% | 4 |
| 269d | Casdifer | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $4,927 | −$4,927 −100% | 4 |
| 269d | Car | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,560 | −$1,560 −100% | 4 |
| 269d | WarriorPooh | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,065 | −$1,065 −100% | 4 |
duderr6,067 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Kristi Noem ceases to be the Secretary of Homeland Security for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Noem's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.