Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,503 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 307d | dramp3 | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,998 | −$19 −0.9% | — |
| 336d | dramp3 | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$17 +0.8% | 20 |
| 357d | thrackle | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,463 | +$38 +2.6% | 20 |
| 400d | seyo | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,052 | +$166 +2.4% | 20 |
| 485d | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,279 | −$225 −5.3% | — | |
| 487d | tbn-172 | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,225 | −$275 −5.3% | — |
| 493d | Jerry4242 | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,654 | −$192 −5.3% | — |
| 498d | nolbu | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | −$77 −6.7% | — |
| 501d | robottu2 | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,935 | −$136 −7.0% | — |
| 507d | pol76 | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$62 −6.0% | — |
| 507d | abusivienejskx | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,665 | +$171 +6.4% | 20 |
| 507d | rdwyegb | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,836 | −$204 −7.2% | — |
| 508d | Ted.K | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | −$65 −4.5% | — |
| 508d | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,324 | +$180 +4.2% | 20 | |
| 508d | rdwyegb | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,612 | +$108 +6.7% | 20 |
| 512d | MrYo | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,458 | +$798 +12% | 20 |
| 513d | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,310 | +$409 +12% | 20 | |
| 546d | Ted.K | Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | +$151 +11% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement between March 24, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.