This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Party of Canada signs a formal coalition or confidence agreement with another political party at the federal level by July 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying agreement includes any signed and publicly announced confidence-and-supply agreement, coalition agreement, or other written agreement in which the parties agree to cooperate on maintaining confidence or sharing executive power. Informal cooperation, public statements of support, or case-by-case voting arrangements without a signed agreement will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the parties involved and a consensus of credible news reporting.