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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Moedas | 100% | +25 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alexandra Leitão | 0% | −24 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| João Ferreira | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bruno Mascarenhas | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 375d |  ChantMaster599 | Carlos Moedas | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,034 | −$40 −0.7% | — |
| 375d | randevous | Carlos Moedas | SellYes>99¢ | $1,354 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 375d | ChantMaster599 | Alexandra Leitão | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,295 | −$12 −0.9% | — |
| 376d |  chefepanda | Alexandra Leitão | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$104 +9.4% | 10 |
| 378d | ChantMaster5993 fills | Carlos Moedas | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $4,311 | +$2,188 +51% | 15 |
| 382d | Bitcoin11 | Carlos Moedas | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$380 +37% | 12 |
Cookedtan294 shares
SlowHorses183 shares
Nehgang129 sharesThe 2025 Lisbon local election will be held on October 12, 2025. Each party or group puts forward a list of candidates, and the list with the most votes makes its top candidate the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who is elected mayor. If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Lisbon.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Carlos Moedas means the market gives it about 100%.