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Polymarket wallet 0x4bb02b694d0a2d74e055533c42bb0719be47e14a · on Polymarket since Oct 9, 2025 · also shown as Frivolous-Brocolli
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 66¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$5 +51% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 379d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes90¢ | $1 |
| 379d | Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BuyYes17¢ | $1 |
| 379d | Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 10? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 379d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 10? | BuyYes38¢ | $1 |
| 379d | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ | $2 |
| 379d | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
| 379d | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 379d | Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon? | BuyYes66¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.