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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 809d | sabato11 | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,883 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 809d |  MALDEMER | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo100¢ | $25,980 | +$131 +0.5% | 10 |
| 809d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente2 fills | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,230 | +$58 +1.1% | 10 |
| 809d | 0xac8db3b4afea21b73ffdc92fjk2 fills | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,546 | +$48 +1.0% | 10 |
| 809d | bama1243 fills | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,420 | +$186 +1.8% | 10 |
| 810d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente2 fills | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,797 | −$99 −2.6% | — |
| 810d |  50Whence5 fills | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $25,589 | −$645 −2.5% | — |
| 813d |  fhantombets | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,478 | +$98 +1.3% | 10 |
| 813d | route | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,829 | +$140 +1.4% | 10 |
| 813d | -JB-2 fills | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,410 | +$141 +1.9% | 10 |
| 813d |  JohannesWalterReich | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,397 | +$18 +1.3% | 10 |
| 814d |  pocahontasporker | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | −$20 −1.5% | — |
| 814d | schwasi | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | −$39 −2.0% | — |
| 814d |  elmcap22 fills | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $20,396 | +$503 +2.5% | 10 |
| 814d | schwasi | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,906 | +$53 +2.8% | 10 |
| 815d | 50Whence5 fills | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $12,867 | +$865 +6.7% | 10 |
| 815d |  ohwell | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,898 | +$102 +3.5% | 10 |
| 816d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,705 | −$95 −3.5% | — |
| 817d | MegaKong | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $1,076 | −$1,076 −100% | 11 |
| 820d | pocahontasporker | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$40 +3.2% | 10 |
| 820d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,860 | +$346 +5.0% | 10 |
| 823d | ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,734 | +$373 +14% | 10 |
| 824d |  Shayku | Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | +$431 +41% | 10 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any major candidate announces they are challenging Kamala Harris for the Democratic nomination for President of the United States between July 22, 2024, and the moment the Democratic nominee is announced. A major candidate is defined as any current or former Senator, Governor, House member (congressman), Cabinet member, or former President/First Lady. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve to "No" if Kamala Harris officially wins the Democratic Nomination before a major challenger has announced. If Kamala Harris drops out before a candidate has announced a challenge this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.