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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Kenyon | 100% | +11 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Andy Burnham | 0% | −11 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Simon Finkelstein | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Skipworth | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maria Deery | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| James Thomas Bryer | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rebecca Shepherd | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126d |  ProfessionalPunter | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,574 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 126d |  studmuffin6969 | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 126d |  knrad | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | +$11 +0.8% | 10 |
| 126d |  Seutervoinen | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,811 | +$149 +0.7% | 10 |
| 127d | lordedward | Rebecca Shepherd | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | −$23 −1.2% | — |
| 127d | SlavaUkraini2 fills | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,485 | +$103 +1.2% | 10 |
| 128d |  Jellow2 | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $11,192 | +$447 +4.0% | 11 |
| 128d |  Donny.T | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | +$51 +4.1% | 11 |
| 129d | absol | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$31 +3.0% | 10 |
| 129d | 0x95074f722f93bdf65e0832064c0877b04 | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$32 +3.0% | 10 |
| 130d | Burdensome-ProwNew account | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyYes5¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 30 |
| 131d | neutralwave23 | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $1,175 | −$1,175 −100% | 13 |
| 137d | Test669 | Rebecca Shepherd | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,881 | +$58 +3.1% | 10 |
studmuffin69691,231 shares
Lavincey200 sharesA by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Robert Kenyon means the market gives it about 100%.