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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $200M | 5% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 4¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $300M | 5% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| $80M | 5% | −4 pts | −6 pts | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | $143 | in 69d |
| $100M | 5% | +1 pts | −5 pts | 3¢ · 7¢ (4¢) | $119 | in 69d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Makina's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Makina doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for $200M means the market gives it about 5%.