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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$2M | 100% | — | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| >$1.5M | 100% | +11 pts | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| >$5M | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$30M | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$20M | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$10M | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$3M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| >$4M | 0% | — | — | — · 3¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 324d |  SQP3G2 fills | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,617 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 324d |  Aragorn-II2 fills | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,496 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 324d |  Optimus- | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,796 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 324d |  bamesjond4 fills | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $26,319 | −$44 −0.2% | — |
| 324d | onekey09 | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $114,895 | +$115 +0.1% | 2 |
| 324d | bamesjond6 fills | >$2M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $24,830 | +$1,312 +5.3% | 2 |
| 324d | LinusB3 fills | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,262 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 324d |  White.Monster | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $4,558 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 324d | LBZone2 fills | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $38,132 | +$68 +0.2% | 2 |
| 324d | VvVv3 fills | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $49,950 | +$50 +0.1% | 2 |
| 324d |  12figureg | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 324d |  zwxokx | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $8,991 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 324d |  MisterClippy | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,367 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 324d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $4,099 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 325d |  MisTKy3 | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $50,160 | −$50 −0.1% | — |
| 325d | 0330330335 fills | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $219,648 | +$384 +0.2% | 2 |
| 325d |  Allinnothing4 fills | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $50,490 | −$103 −0.2% | — |
| 325d |  Noixaref | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,367 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 325d | sayso4 fills | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $14,348 | −$30 −0.2% | — |
| 325d | 0x89cd…4d7d | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,885 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 325d | 12figureg | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 325d |  Oompa-Loompa2 fills | >$2M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,539 | +$61 +0.9% | 2 |
| 325d | tsekinming012 fills | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $153,946 | +$154 +0.1% | 2 |
| 325d | aabyy | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,207 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 325d | noneaa | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 325d |  BeneGesseritVoice | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $6,462 | −$13 −0.2% | — |
| 325d |  Alphax | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,239 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 325d |  Sathwik155 | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $9,116 | −$27 −0.3% | — |
| 325d | Ironman155 | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,589 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 325d | 0xe5c7…6ff2 | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,496 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 325d | E75fifth | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,337 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 325d | E75fifth | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,341 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 326d | waterlili | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $34,360 | −$103 −0.3% | — |
| 326d | White.Monster | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,558 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 326d | Ordon | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,393 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 326d |  DavidTrezeguet | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 326d |  Tigerofthehood | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $100,000 | +$200 +0.2% | 2 |
| 326d |  tourists | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $14,162 | −$43 −0.3% | — |
| 326d | Jugernout | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,995 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 326d | BlueCard000 | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,291 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 326d |  humanbeans2 fills | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,092 | +$62 +0.3% | 2 |
| 326d |  scout2 fills | >$2M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,023 | +$54 +0.6% | 2 |
| 326d | tourists3 fills | >$2M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $11,133 | +$482 +4.3% | 2 |
| 326d |  Everlasting-Gobstopper2 fills | >$2M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,633 | +$46 +0.8% | 2 |
| 326d | 0x1bfe…ab8d2 fills | >$2M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,797 | −$38 −1.0% | — |
| 326d | Dordorbaby2 fills | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,121 | +$20 +0.4% | 2 |
| 326d | vasylus | >$5M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,353 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 326d |  TealV | >$2M | SellYes>99¢ | $8,287 | −$25 −0.3% | — |
| 326d | Aragorn-II | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 326d | MisTKy3 | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $36,149 | +$72 +0.2% | 2 |
| 326d |  mioki | >$2M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,321 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 326d |  cynical-reason | >$2M | BuyYes100¢ | $3,881 | +$20 +0.5% | 2 |
| 326d | SQP3G | >$2M | BuyYes100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 326d | poorsob | >$2M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,746 | +$49 +0.7% | 2 |
| 326d |  duderr | >$2M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,881 | +$19 +1.0% | 2 |
| 326d |  RelaySucks | >$2M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,140 | +$85 +1.2% | 2 |
| 326d |  theta-thunberg2 fills | >$2M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,205 | +$30 +0.9% | 2 |
| 326d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | >$2M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,518 | +$95 +1.7% | 2 |
| 326d | Allinnothing9 fills | >$2M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $32,398 | +$900 +2.8% | 2 |
| 326d | sayso | >$2M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,233 | +$76 +1.8% | 2 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total USDC commitments for the Makina raise on Legion exceed the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the USDC-denominated commitments recorded in the allocation contract at: https://etherscan.io/address/0xd90537959dfb699d9ca4898082b70fb238c3dc1f If the final USDC commitment amount cannot be verified by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable during the market period, this market will resolve to “No.”
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >$2M means the market gives it about 100%.