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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1510-1519 | 100% | 0 pts | +56 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <1480 | 0% | −27 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1480-1489 | 0% | −40 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1490-1499 | 0% | −5 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1500-1509 | 0% | −29 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1520+ | 0% | 0 pts | −54 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve according to the number of confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2025, according to the CDC case counter on September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 1510-1519 means the market gives it about 100%.