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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | — | −1 pts | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43d | tilazczz | Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 95¢ | $1,012 | −$33 −3.3% | — |
| 65d | tilazczz | Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 95¢ | $3,662 | +$39 +1.1% | 2 |
| 99d | degens9 | Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 95¢ | $1,169 | −$25 −2.2% | — |
| 112d | QMG-CORE | Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 95¢ | $1,800 | +$100 +5.6% | 2 |
| 113d |  dadadadayazi | Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? | SellYes10¢ → 5¢ | $1,155 | +$587 +51% | — |
| 113d | dadadadayazi | Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes13¢ → 5¢ | $1,920 | −$1,183 −62% | 7 |
| 117d | degens9 | Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 95¢ | $1,118 | +$75 +6.7% | 2 |
PaddyAlpha562 shares
GamerBolo372 shares
Talophex1,442 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will not be relevant for this market if Michael Saylor is no longer Chairman of Microstrategy at any point. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 5%.