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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480d | Milei out as President of Argentina before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,055 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 487d | nittrader | Milei out as President of Argentina before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,866 | −$12 −0.7% | — |
| 514d | jaja5050 | Milei out as President of Argentina before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,678 | +$34 +2.1% | 20 |
| 515d | QMG-CORE | Milei out as President of Argentina before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,568 | +$32 +2.0% | 20 |
| 550d | Milei out as President of Argentina before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | −$22 −1.7% | — | |
| 558d | landas-163 | Milei out as President of Argentina before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$36 +3.6% | 20 |
| 592d | pop | Milei out as President of Argentina before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,346 | −$49 −3.6% | — |
| 610d | nittrader | Milei out as President of Argentina before July? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | +$180 +9.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time between February 3 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.