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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 100% | +43 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| ≤2 | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4 | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 744d | Joe111-159 | ≤2 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 744d |  Dr.Awkcab2 fills | 3 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,526 | −$20 −0.5% | — |
| 744d |  carp2 fills | ≤2 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $14,853 | −$736 −5.0% | — |
| 744d | carp | 4 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,170 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 744d | jl3128776 | ≤2 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,672 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 744d | Jocobe104 | 5 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,200 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 744d |  MarekyMarek | 3 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,813 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 744d | cowcat | ≤2 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,620 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 744d | Patrick9325 | 3 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,474 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 744d |  ImJustKen | 4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,488 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 744d | bgosling | ≤2 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,416 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 744d | carp3 fills | ≤2 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $13,615 | +$425 +3.1% | 4 |
| 744d | Trump2032-365 | 4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,019 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 744d | Variable-Glut | ≤2 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,546 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 744d |  DancingonMarshmellos2 fills | ≤2 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $10,617 | +$403 +3.8% | 4 |
| 744d | DataDog | 3 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 744d | carp5 fills | 4 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $21,779 | +$615 +2.8% | 4 |
| 744d | carp | 3 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,128 | +$119 +3.8% | 4 |
| 744d | cooker-111 | ≤2 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$126 +4.2% | 4 |
| 744d | DFKK | 4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 744d |  Wumpus | 3 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$59 +5.3% | 4 |
| 744d | Rainiak3 fills | 3 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $5,986 | +$1,457 +24% | 4 |
| 744d | beakmangi | 3 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,391 | −$121 −8.7% | — |
| 744d | Wumpus | ≤2 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | +$108 +7.1% | 4 |
| 744d | Rainiak2 fills | ≤2 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,120 | +$497 +16% | 4 |
| 744d | hmmmmm-3652 fills | ≤2 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,923 | +$1,102 +28% | 4 |
| 744d |  BobMenendez | 4 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,194 | −$15 −0.7% | — |
| 744d | Rainiak | ≤2 | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | −$237 −15% | — |
| 744d |  Blunderton2 fills | 5 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,122 | −$152 −2.5% | — |
| 744d | WigglyWaffles | 3 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,077 | +$181 +8.7% | 4 |
| 744d | WigglyWaffles | ≤2 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$120 +6.7% | 4 |
| 744d | Dr.Awkcab | 3 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$143 +9.5% | 4 |
| 744d | KaashCapital | ≤2 | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,015 | +$1,015 +100% | — |
| 744d | KaashCapital2 fills | 4 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $9,560 | −$724 −7.6% | — |
| 744d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | 4 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,500 | +$58 +0.8% | 4 |
| 744d | Trump2032-3652 fills | 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $31,558 | +$36 +0.1% | 4 |
| 744d |  Qualitative | 3 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | +$604 +50% | 4 |
| 744d |  g... | ≤2 | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $2,424 | −$2,424 −100% | 4 |
| 744d | hmmmmm-365 | 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,440 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 744d | skenez | 5 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,297 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 744d |  DeckardCain | ≤2 | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | −$1,440 −100% | 4 |
| 744d | beakmangi | ≤2 | SellYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,070 | +$1,070 +100% | — |
| 744d |  mr.ozi | 4 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,955 | +$45 +1.5% | 4 |
| 744d |  BustedCungly3 fills | 5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,774 | +$57 +0.6% | 4 |
| 744d |  sorcerer.025 fills | 5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,827 | +$78 +0.9% | 4 |
| 744d | BustedCungly | 4 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$50 +4.2% | 4 |
| 744d |  Car3 fills | 5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,799 | +$68 +1.4% | 4 |
| 744d | aviato | 5 | BuyNo100¢ | $3,980 | +$20 +0.5% | 4 |
| 744d | OmenOfLord | 5 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 744d | 1mperator17 | 5 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,194 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 744d | Kevindoto2 fills | 5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $61,839 | +$931 +1.5% | 4 |
| 744d | Kevindoto | 4 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $10,173 | +$1,193 +12% | 4 |
| 744d | KaashCapital2 fills | 4 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $7,854 | +$2,430 +31% | 4 |
| 744d | unwillingly-public2 fills | 4 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,399 | +$661 +15% | 4 |
| 744d |  Mr.Lovegood3 fills | ≤2 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $6,302 | +$589 +9.3% | 4 |
| 744d | Mr.Lovegood3 fills | 5 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,537 | −$173 −1.6% | — |
| 744d |  CavaSoTasty | 4 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,430 | +$294 +12% | 4 |
| 744d | OmenOfLord | 5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,384 | +$21 +1.5% | 4 |
| 744d |  horatio | 4 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,790 | +$210 +12% | 4 |
| 744d |  fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa | ≤2 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | +$213 +11% | 4 |
OrangeCat7,191 sharesThis is a market group over what strength the named storm system "Milton" will make landfall in the US at.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 3 means the market gives it about 100%.